Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 02/08, 23:00

Prediction: CD Lara vs Yaracuyanos

Team pages: CD Lara · Yaracuyanos

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.34Total

CD Lara1.58

Yaracuyanos0.76

1X2

57% 26% 17%

CD Lara Draw Yaracuyanos

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

CD Lara 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWLLWL

Yaracuyanos 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWLWDLWD

Head-to-head

CD Lara 2–2–2 Yaracuyanos (6 last)

Yaracuyanos1-2CD Lara
CD Lara1-1Yaracuyanos
Yaracuyanos1-3CD Lara
CD Lara1-1Yaracuyanos
Yaracuyanos1-0CD Lara
CD Lara1-2Yaracuyanos

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Lara 1532 · Yaracuyanos 1516

	CD Lara	Draw	Yaracuyanos
Our model	56%	27%	17%
Market	57%	25%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Lara	Yaracuyanos
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.2	5.1 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.1	5.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.60

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.02

2 (+1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:07 +11’	1.57	3.60	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Lara 2–2–2 Yaracuyanos

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Yaracuyanos	1-2 HT 1-1	CD Lara
07/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	CD Lara	1-1 HT 0-0	Yaracuyanos
13/09/21 Venezuela Primera Division	Yaracuyanos	1-3 HT 1-1	CD Lara
26/07/21 Venezuela Primera Division	CD Lara	1-1 HT 0-0	Yaracuyanos
07/06/21 Venezuela Primera Division	Yaracuyanos	1-0 HT 1-0	CD Lara
18/04/21 Venezuela Primera Division	CD Lara	1-2 HT 1-2	Yaracuyanos

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Urena SC	18	10	6	2	30	16	36
2	CD Lara	18	10	5	3	29	17	35
3	Barquisimeto	18	10	5	3	28	16	35
4	Yaracuyanos	17	7	4	6	21	18	25
5	Zamora II	17	6	6	5	26	23	24
6	Atletico Barinas	18	7	2	9	35	37	23
7	Academia Puerto Cabello II	18	6	3	9	22	23	21
8	Real Frontera	18	3	2	13	18	37	11
9	Atletico El Vigia	18	2	5	11	14	36	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Lara	Yaracuyanos
Atletico El Vigia	1-2 L	0-0 D
Atletico Barinas	4-1 W	1-2 L
Urena SC	0-1 L	1-1 D
Barquisimeto	1-0 W	4-0 W
Zamora II	4-1 W	2-3 L
Academia Puerto Cabello II	1-1 D	1-0 W
Real Frontera	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Yaracuyanos (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CD Lara

WWWDWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	0	4	L
25/07	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	4-1	8	5	W
24/06	Urena SC Venezuela Cup	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
06/06	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	2-3	10	6	L
30/05	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-0	0	9	W
24/05	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	4-1	2	4	W
20/05	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
16/05	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
02/05	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	2-1	5	7	W
25/04	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	9	4	W

Yaracuyanos

WLDWLWDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
24/06	Barquisimeto Venezuela Cup	3-0	4-0	6	6	W
06/06	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	1-2	13	3	L
31/05	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	13	1	D
24/05	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
20/05	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-3	8	9	L
16/05	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	9	9	W
09/05	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
02/05	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	1-2	3	7	L
19/04	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-0	6	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Lara vs Yaracuyanos?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Lara win (57%). Probabilities: CD Lara 57%, draw 26%, Yaracuyanos 17%.

How many goals are expected in CD Lara vs Yaracuyanos?

The model expects 2.34 goals (CD Lara 1.58 · Yaracuyanos 0.76), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Lara vs Yaracuyanos?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.