Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 27/09, 23:00
Prediction: AD Cofutpa vs PFA Santa Cruz
Team pages: AD Cofutpa · PFA Santa Cruz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
AD Cofutpa1.56
PFA Santa Cruz1.52
1X2
AD Cofutpa
Draw
PFA Santa Cruz
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
AD Cofutpa
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
PFA Santa Cruz
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AD Cofutpa
2–2–2
PFA Santa Cruz
(6 last)
- PFA Santa Cruz3-1AD Cofutpa
- AD Cofutpa3-3PFA Santa Cruz
- PFA Santa Cruz4-1AD Cofutpa
- AD Cofutpa1-1PFA Santa Cruz
- PFA Santa Cruz0-5AD Cofutpa
- AD Cofutpa1-0PFA Santa Cruz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AD Cofutpa 1395 · PFA Santa Cruz 1472
| AD Cofutpa | Draw | PFA Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PFA Santa Cruz (rating 1395 vs 1472).
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AD Cofutpa | PFA Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2 | 1.4 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/56/33% | 0/33/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.8 | 1.8 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 1.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Cofutpa 2–2–2 PFA Santa Cruz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 Costa Rica Segunda | PFA Santa Cruz | 3-1 | AD Cofutpa |
| 11/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda | AD Cofutpa | 3-3 HT 1-1 | PFA Santa Cruz |
| 25/01/26 Costa Rica Segunda | PFA Santa Cruz | 4-1 | AD Cofutpa |
| 31/08/25 Costa Rica Segunda | AD Cofutpa | 1-1 HT 1-0 | PFA Santa Cruz |
| 26/03/24 Costa Rica Segunda | PFA Santa Cruz | 0-5 HT 0-1 | AD Cofutpa |
| 11/02/24 Costa Rica Segunda | AD Cofutpa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | PFA Santa Cruz |
Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADR Jicaral | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Quepos Cambute FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | AD Grecia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | AD Sarchi | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| 5 | AD Rosario | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 6 | PFA Santa Cruz | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 7 | AD Cofutpa | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AD Cofutpa | PFA Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| AD Sarchi | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| AD Rosario | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| AD Grecia | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Quepos Cambute FC | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| ADR Jicaral | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AD Cofutpa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 08/09 | AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/08 | AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda |
1-3 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/04 | Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/03 | AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
PFA Santa Cruz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/08 | AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda |
0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/08 | AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Segunda |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 18/04 | Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 29/03 | Deportivo Upala Costa Rica Segunda |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AD Cofutpa vs PFA Santa Cruz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AD Cofutpa win (38%). Probabilities: AD Cofutpa 38%, draw 27%, PFA Santa Cruz 36%.
How many goals are expected in AD Cofutpa vs PFA Santa Cruz?
The model expects 3.08 goals (AD Cofutpa 1.56 · PFA Santa Cruz 1.52), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in AD Cofutpa vs PFA Santa Cruz?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.