Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 29/09, 03:00

Prediction: Cariari Pococi vs CS Uruguay de Coronado

Team pages: Cariari Pococi · CS Uruguay de Coronado

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

Cariari Pococi1.83

CS Uruguay de Coronado1.06

1X2

54% 25% 21%

Cariari Pococi Draw CS Uruguay de Coronado

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Cariari Pococi 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWWDDDLW

CS Uruguay de Coronado 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLWWLL

Head-to-head

Cariari Pococi 3–1–2 CS Uruguay de Coronado (6 last)

CS Uruguay de Coronado0-1Cariari Pococi
CS Uruguay de Coronado1-0Cariari Pococi
Cariari Pococi1-1CS Uruguay de Coronado
Cariari Pococi6-1CS Uruguay de Coronado
CS Uruguay de Coronado2-1Cariari Pococi
CS Uruguay de Coronado0-1Cariari Pococi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cariari Pococi 1519 · CS Uruguay de Coronado 1448

	Cariari Pococi	Draw	CS Uruguay de Coronado
Our model	54%	25%	21%
Market	54%	25%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cariari Pococi (rating 1519 vs 1448).
H2H favours Cariari Pococi: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cariari Pococi	CS Uruguay de Coronado
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	0.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.3	1.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.60

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:50 +21’	1.65	3.60	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cariari Pococi 3–1–2 CS Uruguay de Coronado

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Costa Rica Segunda	CS Uruguay de Coronado	0-1 HT 0-1	Cariari Pococi
29/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	CS Uruguay de Coronado	1-0 HT 1-0	Cariari Pococi
04/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Cariari Pococi	1-1 HT 0-0	CS Uruguay de Coronado
02/11/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Cariari Pococi	6-1 HT 1-0	CS Uruguay de Coronado
18/09/25 Costa Rica Segunda	CS Uruguay de Coronado	2-1 HT 0-1	Cariari Pococi
29/03/25 Costa Rica Segunda	CS Uruguay de Coronado	0-1 HT 0-0	Cariari Pococi

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	7	5	2	0	13	7	17
2	Santa Ana	8	5	0	3	11	9	15
3	FC Aserri	9	4	2	3	8	8	14
4	AD Carmelita	9	3	3	3	16	11	12
5	FC Moravia	9	3	1	5	12	10	10
6	Cariari Pococi	6	2	3	1	7	6	9
7	CS Uruguay de Coronado	8	2	1	5	6	15	7
8	Guadalupe FC	8	1	2	5	8	15	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cariari Pococi	CS Uruguay de Coronado
Pitbulls Santa Barbara	2-1 W	1-2 L
AD Carmelita	1-1 D	0-6 L
FC Aserri	1-1 D	0-1 L
Guadalupe FC	3-3 D	1-0 W
FC Moravia	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cariari Pococi (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cariari Pococi

LLDWWDDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/09	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	6	8	W
22/09	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
14/09	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
06/09	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	13	0	D
29/08	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	3-3	7	4	D
21/08	Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
08/08	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
12/04	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	2-2	8	2	D
05/04	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	11	6	L
29/03	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	5	9	L

CS Uruguay de Coronado

LDDLLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-2	0-6	2	6	L
12/09	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
06/09	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
29/08	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
23/08	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-3	8	5	L
18/08	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-2	4	6	L
08/08	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
02/08	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-2	3	5	D
26/04	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
19/04	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	2-1	2-5	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cariari Pococi vs CS Uruguay de Coronado?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cariari Pococi win (54%). Probabilities: Cariari Pococi 54%, draw 25%, CS Uruguay de Coronado 21%.

How many goals are expected in Cariari Pococi vs CS Uruguay de Coronado?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Cariari Pococi 1.83 · CS Uruguay de Coronado 1.06), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cariari Pococi vs CS Uruguay de Coronado?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.