Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 03/10, 22:00

Prediction: CS Uruguay de Coronado vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara

Team pages: CS Uruguay de Coronado · Pitbulls Santa Barbara

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

CS Uruguay de Coronado1.22

Pitbulls Santa Barbara1.28

1X2

34% 28% 37%

CS Uruguay de Coronado Draw Pitbulls Santa Barbara

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Uruguay de Coronado 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDLLLWWLLD

Pitbulls Santa Barbara 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDWDWWWWLD

Head-to-head

CS Uruguay de Coronado 1–1–3 Pitbulls Santa Barbara (5 last)

Pitbulls Santa Barbara2-1CS Uruguay de Coronado
Pitbulls Santa Barbara3-1CS Uruguay de Coronado
CS Uruguay de Coronado0-2Pitbulls Santa Barbara
CS Uruguay de Coronado1-0Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Pitbulls Santa Barbara0-0CS Uruguay de Coronado

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Uruguay de Coronado 1451 · Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1548

	CS Uruguay de Coronado	Draw	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Our model	34%	30%	37%
Market	35%	27%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pitbulls Santa Barbara (rating 1451 vs 1548).
H2H favours Pitbulls Santa Barbara: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Uruguay de Coronado	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.6	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.5	1.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.30

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:18 +4’	2.55	3.30	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Uruguay de Coronado 1–1–3 Pitbulls Santa Barbara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/08/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	2-1 HT 0-0	CS Uruguay de Coronado
07/04/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	3-1 HT 0-0	CS Uruguay de Coronado
22/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda	CS Uruguay de Coronado	0-2 HT 0-0	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
09/11/25 Costa Rica Segunda	CS Uruguay de Coronado	1-0 HT 0-0	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
21/09/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	0-0 HT 0-0	CS Uruguay de Coronado

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	8	5	3	0	15	9	18
2	Santa Ana	9	6	0	3	13	10	18
3	FC Aserri	9	4	2	3	8	8	14
4	AD Carmelita	9	3	3	3	16	11	12
5	FC Moravia	9	3	1	5	12	10	10
6	Cariari Pococi	8	2	4	2	9	9	10
7	CS Uruguay de Coronado	9	2	2	5	7	16	8
8	Guadalupe FC	9	1	3	5	10	17	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Uruguay de Coronado	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Cariari Pococi	1-1 D	1-2 L
AD Carmelita	0-6 L	2-1 W
FC Aserri	0-1 L	1-1 D
Guadalupe FC	1-0 W	2-2 D
FC Moravia	1-0 W	3-2 W
Santa Ana	1-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Pitbulls Santa Barbara (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Uruguay de Coronado

DDLLLWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	6	9	D
19/09	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-2	0-6	2	6	L
12/09	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
06/09	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
29/08	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
23/08	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-3	8	5	L
18/08	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-2	4	6	L
08/08	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
02/08	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-2	3	5	D
26/04	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-0	3	6	D

Pitbulls Santa Barbara

LDWDWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
24/09	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-2	4	8	L
22/09	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
15/09	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	2-1	3-2	2	4	W
07/09	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	3	9	W
01/09	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-0	0	5	W
22/08	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
18/08	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-1	10	6	W
11/08	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	2-2	4	2	D
28/04	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-2	5	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Uruguay de Coronado vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pitbulls Santa Barbara win (37%). Probabilities: CS Uruguay de Coronado 34%, draw 28%, Pitbulls Santa Barbara 37%.

How many goals are expected in CS Uruguay de Coronado vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara?

The model expects 2.5 goals (CS Uruguay de Coronado 1.22 · Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1.28), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Uruguay de Coronado vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.