Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 27/09, 20:00

Prediction: Quepos Cambute FC vs AD Grecia

Team pages: Quepos Cambute FC · AD Grecia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Quepos Cambute FC1.8

AD Grecia1.02

1X2

55% 25% 20%

Quepos Cambute FC Draw AD Grecia

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Quepos Cambute FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWLWDWLW

AD Grecia 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLWDWWLWDD

Head-to-head

Quepos Cambute FC 1–1–4 AD Grecia (6 last)

AD Grecia2-0Quepos Cambute FC
AD Grecia3-2Quepos Cambute FC
Quepos Cambute FC3-2AD Grecia
Quepos Cambute FC1-1AD Grecia
AD Grecia3-1Quepos Cambute FC
AD Grecia3-2Quepos Cambute FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Quepos Cambute FC 1534 · AD Grecia 1516

	Quepos Cambute FC	Draw	AD Grecia
Our model	55%	25%	20%
Market	55%	25%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours AD Grecia: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Quepos Cambute FC	AD Grecia
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	1.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	38/25/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.4	1.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.6	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.60

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:58 +19’	1.61	3.60	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Quepos Cambute FC 1–1–4 AD Grecia

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	2-0 HT 2-0	Quepos Cambute FC
07/04/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	3-2	Quepos Cambute FC
21/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Quepos Cambute FC	3-2 HT 2-1	AD Grecia
09/11/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Quepos Cambute FC	1-1 HT 1-1	AD Grecia
21/09/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	3-1 HT 2-0	Quepos Cambute FC
20/03/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	3-2 HT 3-0	Quepos Cambute FC

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ADR Jicaral	7	4	3	0	11	4	15
2	Quepos Cambute FC	7	4	1	2	12	6	13
3	AD Grecia	6	3	2	1	8	5	11
4	AD Sarchi	7	3	2	2	8	10	11
5	AD Rosario	7	3	1	3	10	10	10
6	PFA Santa Cruz	7	2	0	5	10	15	6
7	AD Cofutpa	7	0	1	6	4	13	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Quepos Cambute FC	AD Grecia
PFA Santa Cruz	2-0 W	2-1 W
ADR Jicaral	0-2 L	1-1 D
AD Cofutpa	3-0 W	0-0 D
AD Sarchi	1-1 D	1-0 W
AD Rosario	2-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Quepos Cambute FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Quepos Cambute FC

DWLWLWDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-0	4	7	W
06/09	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-2	6	8	L
30/08	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	3-0	12	5	W
23/08	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	1-1	4	9	D
16/08	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	6	7	W
09/08	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	0-2	0-2	4	6	L
02/08	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	4-0	5	5	W
10/05	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-3	1	13	L
03/05	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
26/04	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-0	8	6	D

AD Grecia

DLWDWWLWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
08/09	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
30/08	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
24/08	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-3	2	1	L
16/08	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	–	2-1	–	–	W
09/08	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	2-0	1	6	W
12/04	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	9	7	D
07/04	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	–	3-2	–	–	W
31/03	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-3	1	5	L
26/03	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	7	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Quepos Cambute FC vs AD Grecia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Quepos Cambute FC win (55%). Probabilities: Quepos Cambute FC 55%, draw 25%, AD Grecia 20%.

How many goals are expected in Quepos Cambute FC vs AD Grecia?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Quepos Cambute FC 1.8 · AD Grecia 1.02), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Quepos Cambute FC vs AD Grecia?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.