Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 27/09, 21:00

Prediction: AD Sarchi vs ADR Jicaral

Team pages: AD Sarchi · ADR Jicaral

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

AD Sarchi1.02

ADR Jicaral1.33

1X2

28% 29% 43%

AD Sarchi Draw ADR Jicaral

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

AD Sarchi 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWDDLWLW

ADR Jicaral 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WLDWDWWWDD

Head-to-head

AD Sarchi 0–2–4 ADR Jicaral (6 last)

ADR Jicaral1-1AD Sarchi
ADR Jicaral3-2AD Sarchi
AD Sarchi0-3ADR Jicaral
AD Sarchi1-1ADR Jicaral
ADR Jicaral3-0AD Sarchi
ADR Jicaral2-0AD Sarchi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD Sarchi 1474 · ADR Jicaral 1574

	AD Sarchi	Draw	ADR Jicaral
Our model	27%	30%	42%
Market	29%	27%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ADR Jicaral (rating 1474 vs 1574).
H2H favours ADR Jicaral: 4-2-0.
High corners: 14.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AD Sarchi	ADR Jicaral
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	1.4 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/50/13%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.8	3.8 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.4	6.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.30

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:32 +49’	3.10	3.30	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Sarchi 0–2–4 ADR Jicaral

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	1-1 HT 0-0	AD Sarchi
05/04/26 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	3-2 HT 1-1	AD Sarchi
21/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Sarchi	0-3 HT 0-2	ADR Jicaral
09/11/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Sarchi	1-1 HT 0-1	ADR Jicaral
21/09/25 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	3-0 HT 1-0	AD Sarchi
06/04/25 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	2-0 HT 0-0	AD Sarchi

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ADR Jicaral	7	4	3	0	11	4	15
2	Quepos Cambute FC	7	4	1	2	12	6	13
3	AD Grecia	6	3	2	1	8	5	11
4	AD Sarchi	7	3	2	2	8	10	11
5	AD Rosario	7	3	1	3	10	10	10
6	PFA Santa Cruz	7	2	0	5	10	15	6
7	AD Cofutpa	7	0	1	6	4	13	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AD Sarchi	ADR Jicaral
AD Cofutpa	2-1 W	1-0 W
PFA Santa Cruz	0-4 L	4-1 W
AD Rosario	2-1 W	1-1 D
AD Grecia	0-1 L	1-1 D
Quepos Cambute FC	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: ADR Jicaral (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Sarchi

LLDWDDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	11	6	W
13/09	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	–	0-4	–	–	L
06/09	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
30/08	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
23/08	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	1-1	16	9	D
09/08	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
02/08	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
12/04	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
05/04	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-3	3	6	L
26/03	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	–	0-2	–	–	L

ADR Jicaral

WLDWDWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	10	9	D
13/09	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
06/09	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-0	7	8	W
23/08	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	3-0	4-1	10	4	W
17/08	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	11	7	W
09/08	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
31/07	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
24/05	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-0	5	12	D
18/05	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
10/05	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	3-1	8	13	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Sarchi vs ADR Jicaral?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ADR Jicaral win (43%). Probabilities: AD Sarchi 28%, draw 29%, ADR Jicaral 43%.

How many goals are expected in AD Sarchi vs ADR Jicaral?

The model expects 2.35 goals (AD Sarchi 1.02 · ADR Jicaral 1.33), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Sarchi vs ADR Jicaral?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.