Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 18/10, 19:00

Prediction: AD Sarchi vs AD Grecia

Team pages: AD Sarchi · AD Grecia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

AD Sarchi1.34

AD Grecia1.1

1X2

42% 28% 30%

AD Sarchi Draw AD Grecia

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

AD Sarchi 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWDDLWLWLL

AD Grecia 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWDDLWD

Head-to-head

AD Sarchi 2–2–2 AD Grecia (6 last)

AD Grecia1-0AD Sarchi
AD Sarchi1-1AD Grecia
AD Grecia1-0AD Sarchi
AD Grecia1-3AD Sarchi
AD Sarchi2-2AD Grecia
AD Grecia1-2AD Sarchi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD Sarchi 1486 · AD Grecia 1518

	AD Sarchi	Draw	AD Grecia
Our model	41%	30%	29%
Market	42%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AD Sarchi	AD Grecia
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.4	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/44/22%	44/22/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 6.3	2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.3	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.30

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 3.06 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:48 +7’	2.10	3.30	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:11 +60’	2.08	3.15	3.06

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Sarchi 2–2–2 AD Grecia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	1-0 HT 1-0	AD Sarchi
12/04/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Sarchi	1-1 HT 1-0	AD Grecia
26/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	1-0 HT 0-0	AD Sarchi
16/11/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	1-3 HT 1-1	AD Sarchi
28/09/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Sarchi	2-2 HT 1-0	AD Grecia
30/03/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	1-2 HT 0-1	AD Sarchi

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ADR Jicaral	10	7	3	0	18	5	24
2	Quepos Cambute FC	10	6	1	3	15	8	19
3	AD Rosario	10	5	2	3	15	13	17
4	AD Grecia	9	4	3	2	11	8	15
5	AD Sarchi	9	3	2	4	9	13	11
6	PFA Santa Cruz	11	2	0	9	12	24	6
7	AD Cofutpa	9	1	1	7	8	17	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AD Sarchi	AD Grecia
Quepos Cambute FC	1-2 L	0-1 L
ADR Jicaral	0-1 L	1-1 D
AD Cofutpa	2-1 W	0-0 D
PFA Santa Cruz	0-4 L	1-0 W
AD Rosario	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Sarchi

DWDDLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-2	4	9	L
27/09	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
19/09	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	11	6	W
13/09	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	–	0-4	–	–	L
06/09	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
30/08	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
23/08	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	1-1	16	9	D
09/08	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
02/08	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
12/04	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	1	7	D

AD Grecia

DWWLWDDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-2	3	5	D
04/10	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	5	9	W
27/09	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
13/09	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
08/09	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
30/08	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
24/08	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-3	2	1	L
16/08	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	–	2-1	–	–	W
09/08	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	2-0	1	6	W
12/04	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	9	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Sarchi vs AD Grecia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AD Sarchi win (42%). Probabilities: AD Sarchi 42%, draw 28%, AD Grecia 30%.

How many goals are expected in AD Sarchi vs AD Grecia?

The model expects 2.44 goals (AD Sarchi 1.34 · AD Grecia 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Sarchi vs AD Grecia?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.