Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 25/10, 20:00

Prediction: Quepos Cambute FC vs ADR Jicaral

Team pages: Quepos Cambute FC · ADR Jicaral

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.29Total

Quepos Cambute FC1.23

ADR Jicaral1.06

1X2

40% 29% 31%

Quepos Cambute FC Draw ADR Jicaral

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Quepos Cambute FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWWLWL

ADR Jicaral 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDDWWW

Head-to-head

Quepos Cambute FC 2–1–3 ADR Jicaral (6 last)

ADR Jicaral2-0Quepos Cambute FC
ADR Jicaral3-1Quepos Cambute FC
Quepos Cambute FC1-0ADR Jicaral
Quepos Cambute FC4-0ADR Jicaral
ADR Jicaral4-0Quepos Cambute FC
ADR Jicaral0-0Quepos Cambute FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Quepos Cambute FC 1512 · ADR Jicaral 1587

	Quepos Cambute FC	Draw	ADR Jicaral
Our model	39%	31%	30%
Market	40%	28%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ADR Jicaral (rating 1512 vs 1587).
H2H favours ADR Jicaral: 3-1-2.
High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Quepos Cambute FC	ADR Jicaral
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.9	1.8 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.3	4.9 / 8.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.3 / 0.7	5.4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.20

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.20▼	Pinn 2.23
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.50 → 2.80▲	Pinn 2.96 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
19:04 +13’	2.40	3.20	2.50
10:08 +7’	2.20▼	3.20	2.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:10 +7’	2.39	2.94	2.55
09:46 +28’	2.14▼	3.00▲	2.86▲
12:14 +14’	2.18▲	2.91▼	2.87▲
16:01 +6’	2.21▲	2.97▲	2.92▲
18:05 +64’	2.23▲	3.01▲	2.96▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Quepos Cambute FC 2–1–3 ADR Jicaral

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	2-0 HT 0-0	Quepos Cambute FC
10/05/26 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	3-1 HT 0-1	Quepos Cambute FC
03/05/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Quepos Cambute FC	1-0 HT 1-0	ADR Jicaral
29/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Quepos Cambute FC	4-0 HT 2-0	ADR Jicaral
15/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	4-0 HT 2-0	Quepos Cambute FC
02/11/25 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	0-0 HT 0-0	Quepos Cambute FC

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ADR Jicaral	11	8	3	0	20	5	27
2	Quepos Cambute FC	12	6	1	5	15	11	19
3	AD Grecia	11	5	3	3	13	11	18
4	AD Rosario	11	5	2	4	16	16	17
5	AD Sarchi	11	5	2	4	14	14	17
6	AD Cofutpa	11	2	1	8	10	19	7
7	PFA Santa Cruz	11	2	0	9	12	24	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Quepos Cambute FC	ADR Jicaral
AD Cofutpa	0-1 L	3-1 W
AD Sarchi	2-1 W	1-0 W
AD Rosario	0-1 L	1-1 D
AD Grecia	1-0 W	1-1 D
PFA Santa Cruz	2-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: ADR Jicaral (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Quepos Cambute FC

LWDWLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	7	9	L
11/10	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	1	9	W
04/10	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
27/09	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
20/09	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-0	4	7	W
06/09	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-2	6	8	L
30/08	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	3-0	12	5	W
23/08	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	1-1	4	9	D
16/08	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	6	7	W
09/08	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	0-2	0-2	4	6	L

ADR Jicaral

WDWWWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	3-0	9	8	W
04/10	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	3-1	11	6	W
27/09	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	8	6	W
20/09	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	10	9	D
13/09	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
06/09	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-0	7	8	W
23/08	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	3-0	4-1	10	4	W
17/08	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	11	7	W
09/08	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
31/07	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Quepos Cambute FC vs ADR Jicaral?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Quepos Cambute FC win (40%). Probabilities: Quepos Cambute FC 40%, draw 29%, ADR Jicaral 31%.

How many goals are expected in Quepos Cambute FC vs ADR Jicaral?

The model expects 2.29 goals (Quepos Cambute FC 1.23 · ADR Jicaral 1.06), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Quepos Cambute FC vs ADR Jicaral?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.