Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 25/10, 02:00

Prediction: Cariari Pococi vs FC Aserri

Team pages: Cariari Pococi · FC Aserri

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

Cariari Pococi1.41

FC Aserri1.14

1X2

42% 28% 30%

Cariari Pococi Draw FC Aserri

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Cariari Pococi 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDDLWDLLWL

FC Aserri 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWLLDD

Head-to-head

Cariari Pococi 3–3–0 FC Aserri (6 last)

FC Aserri1-1Cariari Pococi
FC Aserri2-2Cariari Pococi
Cariari Pococi2-2FC Aserri
Cariari Pococi3-0FC Aserri
FC Aserri0-1Cariari Pococi
Cariari Pococi2-1FC Aserri

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cariari Pococi 1495 · FC Aserri 1512

	Cariari Pococi	Draw	FC Aserri
Our model	42%	29%	29%
Market	43%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Cariari Pococi: 3-3-0.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cariari Pococi	FC Aserri
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.2	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6	1.8 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	3.7 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.25

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.47 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:31 +7’	2.10	3.25	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:39 +24’	1.88	3.25	3.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cariari Pococi 3–3–0 FC Aserri

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 Costa Rica Segunda	FC Aserri	1-1 HT 1-0	Cariari Pococi
12/04/26 Costa Rica Segunda	FC Aserri	2-2 HT 2-1	Cariari Pococi
19/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Cariari Pococi	2-2 HT 1-0	FC Aserri
16/11/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Cariari Pococi	3-0 HT 1-0	FC Aserri
27/09/25 Costa Rica Segunda	FC Aserri	0-1 HT 0-1	Cariari Pococi
02/04/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Cariari Pococi	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Aserri

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santa Ana	12	9	0	3	21	11	27
2	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	12	5	5	2	21	17	20
3	AD Carmelita	12	4	4	4	20	14	16
4	Cariari Pococi	12	4	4	4	12	12	16
5	FC Aserri	12	4	4	4	13	14	16
6	Guadalupe FC	12	4	3	5	16	19	15
7	FC Moravia	12	4	1	7	14	14	13
8	CS Uruguay de Coronado	12	2	3	7	9	25	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cariari Pococi	FC Aserri
Guadalupe FC	0-1 L	2-3 L
FC Moravia	1-0 W	0-1 L
Santa Ana	0-1 L	1-0 W
CS Uruguay de Coronado	1-1 D	1-0 W
Pitbulls Santa Barbara	2-1 W	2-2 D
AD Carmelita	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cariari Pococi

DDDLWDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
11/10	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	6	3	W
04/10	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
02/10	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-2	8	6	L
29/09	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	5	9	D
24/09	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	6	8	W
22/09	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
14/09	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
06/09	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	13	0	D
29/08	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	3-3	7	4	D

FC Aserri

WDWDWWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
13/10	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-2	4	7	D
04/10	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	2-3	9	4	L
26/09	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	9	6	L
20/09	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
12/09	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
06/09	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	4	0	D
28/08	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
22/08	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
15/08	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cariari Pococi vs FC Aserri?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cariari Pococi win (42%). Probabilities: Cariari Pococi 42%, draw 28%, FC Aserri 30%.

How many goals are expected in Cariari Pococi vs FC Aserri?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Cariari Pococi 1.41 · FC Aserri 1.14), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cariari Pococi vs FC Aserri?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.