Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 24/10, 22:00

Prediction: CS Uruguay de Coronado vs Guadalupe FC

Team pages: CS Uruguay de Coronado · Guadalupe FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

CS Uruguay de Coronado1.13

Guadalupe FC1.74

1X2

24% 25% 51%

CS Uruguay de Coronado Draw Guadalupe FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Uruguay de Coronado 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Guadalupe FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CS Uruguay de Coronado 1–1–4 Guadalupe FC (6 last)

Guadalupe FC0-1CS Uruguay de Coronado
CS Uruguay de Coronado1-3Guadalupe FC
Guadalupe FC2-1CS Uruguay de Coronado
Guadalupe FC3-0CS Uruguay de Coronado
CS Uruguay de Coronado1-4Guadalupe FC
Guadalupe FC0-0CS Uruguay de Coronado

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Uruguay de Coronado 1444 · Guadalupe FC 1485

	CS Uruguay de Coronado	Draw	Guadalupe FC
Our model	24%	26%	51%
Market	24%	25%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guadalupe FC (rating 1444 vs 1485).
H2H favours Guadalupe FC: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Uruguay de Coronado	Guadalupe FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.2	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4	2.7 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.5	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.70

X3.60

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.85 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:05 +19’	3.70	3.60	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:00 +11’	3.81	3.32	1.77
13:03 +223’	3.60▼	3.23▼	1.85▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Uruguay de Coronado 1–1–4 Guadalupe FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Guadalupe FC	0-1 HT 0-0	CS Uruguay de Coronado
06/04/25 Costa Rica Segunda	CS Uruguay de Coronado	1-3 HT 0-2	Guadalupe FC
25/02/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Guadalupe FC	2-1 HT 1-1	CS Uruguay de Coronado
29/10/24 Costa Rica Segunda	Guadalupe FC	3-0 HT 0-0	CS Uruguay de Coronado
08/09/24 Costa Rica Segunda	CS Uruguay de Coronado	1-4 HT 1-1	Guadalupe FC
31/03/24 Costa Rica Segunda	Guadalupe FC	0-0 HT 0-0	CS Uruguay de Coronado

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santa Ana	12	9	0	3	21	11	27
2	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	12	5	5	2	21	17	20
3	AD Carmelita	12	4	4	4	20	14	16
4	Cariari Pococi	12	4	4	4	12	12	16
5	FC Aserri	12	4	4	4	13	14	16
6	Guadalupe FC	12	4	3	5	16	19	15
7	FC Moravia	12	4	1	7	14	14	13
8	CS Uruguay de Coronado	12	2	3	7	9	25	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Uruguay de Coronado	Guadalupe FC
FC Moravia	0-2 L	0-3 L
Santa Ana	0-5 L	1-2 L
Pitbulls Santa Barbara	2-2 D	2-2 D
Cariari Pococi	1-1 D	1-0 W
AD Carmelita	0-6 L	2-0 W
FC Aserri	0-1 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Guadalupe FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Uruguay de Coronado

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
10/10	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-5	1	7	L
03/10	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-2	3	8	D
29/09	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	6	9	D
19/09	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-2	0-6	2	6	L
12/09	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
06/09	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
29/08	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
23/08	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-3	8	5	L
18/08	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-2	4	6	L

Guadalupe FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
10/10	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	2-0	10	10	W
04/10	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	2-1	3-2	8	4	W
27/09	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-2	11	5	D
19/09	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	0-3	0-3	10	5	L
13/09	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-2	7	5	L
06/09	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
29/08	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	3-3	3	4	D
25/08	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
15/08	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Uruguay de Coronado vs Guadalupe FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Guadalupe FC win (51%). Probabilities: CS Uruguay de Coronado 24%, draw 25%, Guadalupe FC 51%.

How many goals are expected in CS Uruguay de Coronado vs Guadalupe FC?

The model expects 2.88 goals (CS Uruguay de Coronado 1.13 · Guadalupe FC 1.74), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Uruguay de Coronado vs Guadalupe FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.