Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 01/11, 20:00

Prediction: AD Cofutpa vs AD Rosario

Team pages: AD Cofutpa · AD Rosario

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
AD Cofutpa1.34
AD Rosario1.61
1X2
31% 26% 43%
AD Cofutpa Draw AD Rosario
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
AD Cofutpa 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLDLLWLWL
AD Rosario 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWWLWDWDWL
Head-to-head
AD Cofutpa 0–1 AD Rosario (1 last)
  • AD Rosario2-1AD Cofutpa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD Cofutpa 1448 · AD Rosario 1515
AD CofutpaDrawAD Rosario
Our model31%27%43%
Market31%26%43%
Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AD Rosario (rating 1448 vs 1515).
  • Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AD CofutpaAD Rosario
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.71.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 10.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/50/50%60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.62.9 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.86.5 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Cofutpa 0–0–1 AD Rosario

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/09/26
Costa Rica Segunda
AD Rosario2-1
HT 1-1
AD Cofutpa

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ADR Jicaral 11830 20527
2 Quepos Cambute FC 12615 151119
3 AD Grecia 11533 131118
4 AD Rosario 11524 161617
5 AD Sarchi 11524 141417
6 AD Cofutpa 11218 10197
7 PFA Santa Cruz 11209 12246

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAD CofutpaAD Rosario
AD Grecia 1-2 L 2-2 D
Quepos Cambute FC 1-0 W 1-0 W
ADR Jicaral 1-3 L 1-1 D
PFA Santa Cruz 3-1 W 2-1 W
AD Sarchi 1-2 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Cofutpa

LLLDLLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 AD Grecia
Costa Rica Segunda
1-2 1-2 37 L
20/10 Quepos Cambute FC
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 1-0 29 W
04/10 ADR Jicaral
Costa Rica Segunda
0-2 1-3 26 L
27/09 PFA Santa Cruz
Costa Rica Segunda
– 3-1 –– W
19/09 AD Sarchi
Costa Rica Segunda
0-1 1-2 56 L
13/09 AD Rosario
Costa Rica Segunda
1-1 1-2 68 L
08/09 AD Grecia
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 0-0 53 D
30/08 Quepos Cambute FC
Costa Rica Segunda
0-2 0-3 35 L
17/08 ADR Jicaral
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 0-1 37 L
09/08 PFA Santa Cruz
Costa Rica Segunda
– 1-3 –– L

AD Rosario

LWWLWDWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 AD Sarchi
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 1-3 710 L
18/10 PFA Santa Cruz
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 2-1 108 W
12/10 AD Grecia
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 2-2 75 D
04/10 Quepos Cambute FC
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 1-0 36 W
20/09 ADR Jicaral
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 1-1 79 D
13/09 AD Cofutpa
Costa Rica Segunda
1-1 2-1 08 W
06/09 AD Sarchi
Costa Rica Segunda
0-1 1-2 58 L
30/08 PFA Santa Cruz
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 2-1 37 W
24/08 AD Grecia
Costa Rica Segunda
0-1 3-2 61 W
16/08 Quepos Cambute FC
Costa Rica Segunda
0-1 1-2 47 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Cofutpa vs AD Rosario?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AD Rosario win (43%). Probabilities: AD Cofutpa 31%, draw 26%, AD Rosario 43%.

How many goals are expected in AD Cofutpa vs AD Rosario?

The model expects 2.95 goals (AD Cofutpa 1.34 · AD Rosario 1.61), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AD Cofutpa vs AD Rosario?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.