Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 01/11, 20:00

Prediction: ADR Jicaral vs AD Grecia

Team pages: ADR Jicaral · AD Grecia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

ADR Jicaral1.72

AD Grecia0.8

1X2

59% 24% 17%

ADR Jicaral Draw AD Grecia

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

ADR Jicaral 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWDDWWWW

AD Grecia 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDDLWDLW

Head-to-head

ADR Jicaral 4–2–0 AD Grecia (6 last)

AD Grecia1-1ADR Jicaral
ADR Jicaral1-1AD Grecia
AD Grecia0-2ADR Jicaral
AD Grecia0-3ADR Jicaral
ADR Jicaral1-0AD Grecia
ADR Jicaral3-0AD Grecia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ADR Jicaral 1600 · AD Grecia 1496

	ADR Jicaral	Draw	AD Grecia
Our model	58%	26%	16%
Market	60%	22%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ADR Jicaral (rating 1600 vs 1496).
H2H favours ADR Jicaral: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ADR Jicaral	AD Grecia
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.5	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.1	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	44/22/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.5 / 7.7	2.1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.5	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:23 +19’	1.48	4.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ADR Jicaral 4–2–0 AD Grecia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/09/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	1-1 HT 0-0	ADR Jicaral
15/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	1-1 HT 0-1	AD Grecia
03/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	0-2 HT 0-1	ADR Jicaral
19/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda	AD Grecia	0-3 HT 0-3	ADR Jicaral
03/09/25 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	1-0 HT 0-0	AD Grecia
23/03/25 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	3-0 HT 3-0	AD Grecia

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ADR Jicaral	11	8	3	0	20	5	27
2	Quepos Cambute FC	12	6	1	5	15	11	19
3	AD Grecia	11	5	3	3	13	11	18
4	AD Rosario	11	5	2	4	16	16	17
5	AD Sarchi	11	5	2	4	14	14	17
6	AD Cofutpa	11	2	1	8	10	19	7
7	PFA Santa Cruz	11	2	0	9	12	24	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ADR Jicaral	AD Grecia
Quepos Cambute FC	2-0 W	0-1 L
PFA Santa Cruz	3-0 W	1-0 W
AD Cofutpa	3-1 W	2-1 W
AD Sarchi	1-0 W	0-2 L
AD Rosario	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: ADR Jicaral (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ADR Jicaral

DWWWDDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-0	0	7	W
11/10	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	3-0	9	8	W
04/10	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	3-1	11	6	W
27/09	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	8	6	W
20/09	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	10	9	D
13/09	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
06/09	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-0	7	8	W
23/08	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	3-0	4-1	10	4	W
17/08	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	11	7	W
09/08	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	7	4	D

AD Grecia

WLWDDLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	2-1	2-1	2	7	W
18/10	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
12/10	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-2	3	5	D
04/10	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	5	9	W
27/09	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
13/09	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
08/09	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
30/08	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
24/08	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-3	2	1	L
16/08	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ADR Jicaral vs AD Grecia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ADR Jicaral win (59%). Probabilities: ADR Jicaral 59%, draw 24%, AD Grecia 17%.

How many goals are expected in ADR Jicaral vs AD Grecia?

The model expects 2.53 goals (ADR Jicaral 1.72 · AD Grecia 0.8), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in ADR Jicaral vs AD Grecia?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.