Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 01/11, 20:00

Prediction: FC Aserri vs CS Uruguay de Coronado

Team pages: FC Aserri · CS Uruguay de Coronado

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

FC Aserri1.88

CS Uruguay de Coronado0.85

1X2

61% 24% 16%

FC Aserri Draw CS Uruguay de Coronado

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Aserri 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWWLLDDL

CS Uruguay de Coronado 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLDDLLL

Head-to-head

FC Aserri 3–3–0 CS Uruguay de Coronado (6 last)

CS Uruguay de Coronado0-1FC Aserri
FC Aserri1-0CS Uruguay de Coronado
CS Uruguay de Coronado2-2FC Aserri
CS Uruguay de Coronado1-1FC Aserri
FC Aserri0-0CS Uruguay de Coronado
CS Uruguay de Coronado1-2FC Aserri

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Aserri 1504 · CS Uruguay de Coronado 1429

	FC Aserri	Draw	CS Uruguay de Coronado
Our model	61%	24%	15%
Market	61%	24%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Aserri (rating 1504 vs 1429).
H2H favours FC Aserri: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Aserri	CS Uruguay de Coronado
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	0.7 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 5.4	1.5 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.6	4.6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.48

X3.80

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 3.97 ★
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:11 +31’	1.48	3.80	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:11 +3’	1.45	3.97	5.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Aserri 3–3–0 CS Uruguay de Coronado

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 Costa Rica Segunda	CS Uruguay de Coronado	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Aserri
10/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	FC Aserri	1-0 HT 1-0	CS Uruguay de Coronado
17/01/26 Costa Rica Segunda	CS Uruguay de Coronado	2-2 HT 0-0	FC Aserri
09/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda	CS Uruguay de Coronado	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Aserri
23/08/25 Costa Rica Segunda	FC Aserri	0-0 HT 0-0	CS Uruguay de Coronado
09/03/25 Costa Rica Segunda	CS Uruguay de Coronado	1-2 HT 0-0	FC Aserri

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santa Ana	13	9	0	4	22	14	27
2	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	13	6	5	2	23	18	23
3	Cariari Pococi	13	5	4	4	14	13	19
4	Guadalupe FC	13	5	3	5	18	20	18
5	AD Carmelita	13	4	4	5	21	16	16
6	FC Moravia	13	5	1	7	17	15	16
7	FC Aserri	13	4	4	5	14	16	16
8	CS Uruguay de Coronado	13	2	3	8	10	27	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Aserri	CS Uruguay de Coronado
Cariari Pococi	1-2 L	1-1 D
AD Carmelita	1-1 D	0-6 L
Pitbulls Santa Barbara	2-2 D	2-2 D
Guadalupe FC	2-3 L	1-2 L
FC Moravia	0-1 L	0-2 L
Santa Ana	1-0 W	0-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Aserri (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Aserri

DWDWWLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
18/10	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
13/10	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-2	4	7	D
04/10	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	2-3	9	4	L
26/09	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	9	6	L
20/09	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
12/09	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
06/09	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	4	0	D
28/08	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
22/08	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	4	4	D

CS Uruguay de Coronado

LWWLLDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-2	2	3	L
17/10	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
10/10	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-5	1	7	L
03/10	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-2	3	8	D
29/09	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	6	9	D
19/09	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-2	0-6	2	6	L
12/09	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
06/09	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
29/08	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
23/08	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-3	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Aserri vs CS Uruguay de Coronado?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Aserri win (61%). Probabilities: FC Aserri 61%, draw 24%, CS Uruguay de Coronado 16%.

How many goals are expected in FC Aserri vs CS Uruguay de Coronado?

The model expects 2.74 goals (FC Aserri 1.88 · CS Uruguay de Coronado 0.85), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Aserri vs CS Uruguay de Coronado?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.