Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 18/10, 21:00

Prediction: Santa Ana vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara

Team pages: Santa Ana · Pitbulls Santa Barbara

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Santa Ana1.73

Pitbulls Santa Barbara1.23

1X2

48% 25% 26%

Santa Ana Draw Pitbulls Santa Barbara

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Santa Ana 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLLWWW

Pitbulls Santa Barbara 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWLDDD

Head-to-head

Santa Ana 0–2–3 Pitbulls Santa Barbara (5 last)

Pitbulls Santa Barbara2-0Santa Ana
Pitbulls Santa Barbara2-1Santa Ana
Santa Ana1-2Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Santa Ana0-0Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Pitbulls Santa Barbara0-0Santa Ana

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santa Ana 1545 · Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1558

	Santa Ana	Draw	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Pitbulls Santa Barbara: 3-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Santa Ana	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.5	5.6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.60

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 14:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.85▼	Bet365 1.85
X	3.40 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
2	3.25 → 3.40▲	Pinn 3.43 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:52 +10’	1.95	3.40	3.25
09:59 +15’	1.85▼	3.60▲	3.40▲
12:25 +3’	1.80▼	3.60	3.50▲
13:55 +8’	1.85▲	3.60	3.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:34 +40’	1.74	3.68	3.60
12:23 +5’	1.82▲	3.52▼	3.43▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Ana 0–2–3 Pitbulls Santa Barbara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/09/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	2-0 HT 1-0	Santa Ana
13/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	2-1 HT 0-0	Santa Ana
25/01/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Santa Ana	1-2 HT 0-1	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
12/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Santa Ana	0-0 HT 0-0	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
02/09/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	0-0 HT 0-0	Santa Ana

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santa Ana	10	7	0	3	18	10	21
2	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	11	5	5	1	20	15	20
3	Cariari Pococi	11	4	4	3	12	11	16
4	AD Carmelita	11	4	3	4	19	13	15
5	FC Aserri	11	4	3	4	12	13	15
6	Guadalupe FC	12	4	3	5	16	19	15
7	FC Moravia	12	4	1	7	14	14	13
8	CS Uruguay de Coronado	12	2	3	7	9	25	9

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Santa Ana	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
CS Uruguay de Coronado	5-0 W	2-2 D
Cariari Pococi	1-0 W	1-2 L
AD Carmelita	0-1 L	2-1 W
FC Aserri	0-1 L	2-2 D
Guadalupe FC	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Santa Ana (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santa Ana

WWLWWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	5-0	2	7	W
04/10	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
02/10	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
26/09	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
20/09	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
13/09	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-1	3	5	W
05/09	Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
01/09	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
23/08	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	3-1	2	5	W
09/08	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	3-2	9	6	W

Pitbulls Santa Barbara

WDWWWWLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-2	5	7	D
03/10	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-2	6	8	D
27/09	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
24/09	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-2	4	8	L
22/09	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
15/09	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	2-1	3-2	2	4	W
07/09	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-1	3	9	W
01/09	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-0	0	5	W
22/08	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
18/08	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-1	10	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santa Ana vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santa Ana win (48%). Probabilities: Santa Ana 48%, draw 25%, Pitbulls Santa Barbara 26%.

How many goals are expected in Santa Ana vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Santa Ana 1.73 · Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1.23), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Santa Ana vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.