Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 01/08, 20:00

Prediction: Sportivo Italiano vs Atletico Camioneros

Team pages: Sportivo Italiano · Atletico Camioneros

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.16Total

Sportivo Italiano1.03

Atletico Camioneros1.13

1X2

31% 32% 37%

Sportivo Italiano Draw Atletico Camioneros

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sportivo Italiano 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLLDDWWWD

Atletico Camioneros 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDLDWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Sportivo Italiano 0–1 Atletico Camioneros (1 last)

Atletico Camioneros2-1Sportivo Italiano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sportivo Italiano 1513 · Atletico Camioneros 1529

	Sportivo Italiano	Draw	Atletico Camioneros
Our model	31%	32%	37%
Market	31%	32%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sportivo Italiano	Atletico Camioneros
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.8	1.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	1.7 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.4	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.88

X2.75

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.82

Under 1.751.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
20:46 +9’	2.88	2.75	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Italiano 0–0–1 Atletico Camioneros

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Atletico Camioneros	2-1 HT 1-0	Sportivo Italiano

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Talleres Remedios	27	15	7	5	31	13	52
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	27	14	9	4	37	19	51
3	Excursionistas	27	14	8	5	38	18	50
4	Atletico Camioneros	27	14	8	5	33	17	50
5	Villa Dalmine	27	13	10	4	30	14	49
6	Sportivo Italiano	27	12	9	6	27	21	45
7	Real Pilar	27	11	7	9	31	30	40
8	Club Comunicaciones	27	10	8	9	31	28	38
9	Deportivo Armenio	27	10	8	9	30	31	38
10	Deportivo Laferrere	27	10	8	9	29	32	38
11	Deportivo Merlo	27	9	9	9	32	40	36
12	Argentino Merlo	27	9	8	10	26	25	35
12	San Martin De Burzaco	27	8	11	8	26	25	35
14	CS Dock Sud	27	7	11	9	27	25	32
15	Argentino Quilmes	27	7	11	9	25	28	32
16	Deportivo Liniers	27	6	10	11	18	27	28
17	CSD Flandria	27	7	6	14	21	33	27
18	CA Brown de Adrogue	27	6	9	12	17	29	27
19	Defensores Unidos	27	5	11	11	21	30	26
20	Villa San Carlos	27	5	10	12	26	34	25
21	UAI Urquiza	27	3	16	8	13	23	25
22	CA Ituzaingo	27	1	8	18	18	45	11

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sportivo Italiano	Atletico Camioneros
San Martin De Burzaco	2-1 W	2-0 W
Villa San Carlos	1-0 W	2-0 W
Deportivo Liniers	1-0 W	1-0 W
Real Pilar	1-1 D	1-2 L
UAI Urquiza	0-0 D	4-0 W
Villa Dalmine	1-2 L	1-0 W
Excursionistas	0-1 L	1-1 D
Arsenal de Sarandi	3-1 W	1-2 L
Argentino Merlo	0-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Camioneros (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sportivo Italiano

LWLLDDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
18/07	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	1	7	W
14/07	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
10/07	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
05/07	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
28/06	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
20/06	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	4	5	L
13/06	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	8	L
06/06	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	3-1	2	6	W
31/05	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	4	6	L

Atletico Camioneros

LDLDWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
18/07	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
14/07	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
10/07	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-2	1-2	6	2	L
04/07	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	4-0	0	3	W
27/06	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
20/06	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
13/06	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	5	10	L
06/06	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
31/05	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-4	8	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sportivo Italiano vs Atletico Camioneros?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico Camioneros win (37%). Probabilities: Sportivo Italiano 31%, draw 32%, Atletico Camioneros 37%.

How many goals are expected in Sportivo Italiano vs Atletico Camioneros?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Sportivo Italiano 1.03 · Atletico Camioneros 1.13), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sportivo Italiano vs Atletico Camioneros?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.