Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 08/08, 20:00
Prediction: Argentino Quilmes vs Real Pilar
Team pages: Argentino Quilmes · Real Pilar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Argentino Quilmes1.1
Real Pilar1.14
1X2
Argentino Quilmes
Draw
Real Pilar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Argentino Quilmes
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Real Pilar
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Argentino Quilmes
1–2
Real Pilar
(3 last)
- Real Pilar3-2Argentino Quilmes
- Real Pilar1-0Argentino Quilmes
- Argentino Quilmes2-0Real Pilar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Argentino Quilmes 1501 · Real Pilar 1511
| Argentino Quilmes | Draw | Real Pilar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 31% | 35% |
| Market | 33% | 33% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Real Pilar: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Argentino Quilmes | Real Pilar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.8 | 2.5 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentino Quilmes 1–0–2 Real Pilar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Real Pilar | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Argentino Quilmes |
| 19/07/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Real Pilar | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Argentino Quilmes |
| 01/03/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Argentino Quilmes | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Real Pilar |
Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 19 | 53 |
| 2 | Talleres Remedios | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 52 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 32 | 15 | 52 |
| 5 | Atletico Camioneros | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 51 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 46 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 43 |
| 8 | Deportivo Laferrere | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 33 | 41 |
| 9 | Club Comunicaciones | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 28 | 39 |
| 10 | Deportivo Armenio | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 33 | 38 |
| 11 | Deportivo Merlo | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 41 | 37 |
| 12 | San Martin De Burzaco | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 27 | 26 | 36 |
| 13 | Argentino Merlo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 28 | 35 |
| 14 | CS Dock Sud | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 33 |
| 15 | Argentino Quilmes | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 33 |
| 16 | Deportivo Liniers | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 27 | 29 |
| 17 | CA Brown de Adrogue | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 30 | 28 |
| 18 | CSD Flandria | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 35 | 27 |
| 19 | Villa San Carlos | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 26 |
| 20 | Defensores Unidos | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 22 | 32 | 26 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 28 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 26 |
| 22 | CA Ituzaingo | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 45 | 12 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Argentino Quilmes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 14/07 | Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 10/07 | Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 05/07 | Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Real Pilar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 18/07 | CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/07 | Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/07 | Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 05/06 | CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Argentino Quilmes vs Real Pilar?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Pilar win (35%). Probabilities: Argentino Quilmes 33%, draw 32%, Real Pilar 35%.
How many goals are expected in Argentino Quilmes vs Real Pilar?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Argentino Quilmes 1.1 · Real Pilar 1.14), with a 56% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Argentino Quilmes vs Real Pilar?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.