Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 08/08, 20:30

Prediction: Deportivo Armenio vs Villa Dalmine

Team pages: Deportivo Armenio · Villa Dalmine

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.91Total

Deportivo Armenio0.99

Villa Dalmine0.92

1X2

35% 34% 31%

Deportivo Armenio Draw Villa Dalmine

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Armenio 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWDDWDDL

Villa Dalmine 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWDDDW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Armenio 1–2–2 Villa Dalmine (5 last)

Villa Dalmine2-0Deportivo Armenio
Villa Dalmine1-2Deportivo Armenio
Deportivo Armenio1-4Villa Dalmine
Deportivo Armenio0-0Villa Dalmine
Villa Dalmine1-1Deportivo Armenio

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Armenio 1523 · Villa Dalmine 1538

	Deportivo Armenio	Draw	Villa Dalmine
Our model	35%	34%	31%
Market	35%	33%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 1.91 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Villa Dalmine: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Armenio	Villa Dalmine
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.6	1.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.55

X2.70

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 1.752.00

Under 1.751.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.55▼	Pinn 2.63
X	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
2	2.60 → 2.88▲	Pinn 3.05 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:44 +15’	2.80	2.70	2.60
21:52 +7’	2.55▼	2.70	2.88▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:56 +2’	2.63	2.52	3.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 1.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Armenio 1–2–2 Villa Dalmine

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Villa Dalmine	2-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Armenio
23/08/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Villa Dalmine	1-2 HT 1-1	Deportivo Armenio
05/04/25 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Armenio	1-4 HT 0-2	Villa Dalmine
11/08/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Deportivo Armenio	0-0 HT 0-0	Villa Dalmine
25/03/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Villa Dalmine	1-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Armenio

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Camioneros	29	15	9	5	35	18	54
2	Excursionistas	28	15	8	5	40	19	53
3	Talleres Remedios	28	15	8	5	31	13	53
4	Arsenal de Sarandi	28	14	10	4	38	20	52
5	Villa Dalmine	28	14	10	4	32	15	52
6	Sportivo Italiano	28	12	10	6	28	22	46
7	Real Pilar	28	12	7	9	33	31	43
8	Deportivo Laferrere	28	11	8	9	32	33	41
9	Club Comunicaciones	29	10	9	10	31	29	39
10	Deportivo Armenio	28	10	8	10	31	33	38
11	Deportivo Merlo	28	9	10	9	33	41	37
12	San Martin De Burzaco	28	8	12	8	27	26	36
13	Argentino Merlo	28	9	8	11	27	28	35
14	CS Dock Sud	28	7	12	9	28	26	33
15	Argentino Quilmes	28	7	12	9	25	28	33
16	Villa San Carlos	29	6	11	12	28	35	29
17	Deportivo Liniers	28	6	11	11	18	27	29
18	CA Brown de Adrogue	28	6	10	12	18	30	28
19	CSD Flandria	28	7	6	15	22	35	27
20	Defensores Unidos	28	5	11	12	22	32	26
21	UAI Urquiza	28	3	17	8	13	23	26
22	CA Ituzaingo	29	1	9	19	18	46	12

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Armenio	Villa Dalmine
CSD Flandria	2-1 W	2-1 W
Argentino Quilmes	1-1 D	0-0 D
Defensores Unidos	3-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Armenio (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Armenio

WDWWDDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
25/07	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
18/07	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-2	6	5	D
14/07	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-1	1	5	W
10/07	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
04/07	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
27/06	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
20/06	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
14/06	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	1	6	D
06/06	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	4	5	W

Villa Dalmine

DWWLWWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	2	2	W
25/07	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
18/07	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
15/07	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
10/07	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	2	6	W
04/07	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	1	5	W
27/06	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	8	2	L
20/06	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	3	5	W
13/06	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
06/06	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Armenio vs Villa Dalmine?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Armenio win (35%). Probabilities: Deportivo Armenio 35%, draw 34%, Villa Dalmine 31%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Armenio vs Villa Dalmine?

The model expects 1.91 goals (Deportivo Armenio 0.99 · Villa Dalmine 0.92), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Armenio vs Villa Dalmine?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.