Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 09/08, 20:00

Prediction: Deportivo Laferrere vs Arsenal de Sarandi

Team pages: Deportivo Laferrere · Arsenal de Sarandi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.31Total

Deportivo Laferrere1.07

Arsenal de Sarandi1.24

1X2

30% 31% 39%

Deportivo Laferrere Draw Arsenal de Sarandi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Laferrere 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWDWWLW

Arsenal de Sarandi 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDWWLWDD

Head-to-head

Deportivo Laferrere 0–1 Arsenal de Sarandi (1 last)

Arsenal de Sarandi3-0Deportivo Laferrere

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Laferrere 1543 · Arsenal de Sarandi 1537

	Deportivo Laferrere	Draw	Arsenal de Sarandi
Our model	30%	31%	39%
Market	30%	31%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Laferrere	Arsenal de Sarandi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.8	3.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	6.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.00

X2.88

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.75

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 22.00

Under 21.80

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.20 ★
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.30 → 2.35▲	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:26 +4’	3.00	2.88	2.30
20:58 +3’	3.00	2.88	2.35▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:39	3.20	2.77	2.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Laferrere 0–0–1 Arsenal de Sarandi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Arsenal de Sarandi	3-0 HT 3-0	Deportivo Laferrere

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Camioneros	29	15	9	5	35	18	54
2	Excursionistas	28	15	8	5	40	19	53
3	Talleres Remedios	28	15	8	5	31	13	53
4	Arsenal de Sarandi	28	14	10	4	38	20	52
5	Villa Dalmine	28	14	10	4	32	15	52
6	Sportivo Italiano	28	12	10	6	28	22	46
7	Real Pilar	28	12	7	9	33	31	43
8	Deportivo Laferrere	28	11	8	9	32	33	41
9	Club Comunicaciones	29	10	9	10	31	29	39
10	Deportivo Armenio	28	10	8	10	31	33	38
11	Deportivo Merlo	28	9	10	9	33	41	37
12	San Martin De Burzaco	28	8	12	8	27	26	36
13	Argentino Merlo	28	9	8	11	27	28	35
14	CS Dock Sud	28	7	12	9	28	26	33
15	Argentino Quilmes	28	7	12	9	25	28	33
16	Villa San Carlos	29	6	11	12	28	35	29
17	Deportivo Liniers	28	6	11	11	18	27	29
18	CA Brown de Adrogue	28	6	10	12	18	30	28
19	CSD Flandria	28	7	6	15	22	35	27
20	Defensores Unidos	28	5	11	12	22	32	26
21	UAI Urquiza	28	3	17	8	13	23	26
22	CA Ituzaingo	29	1	9	19	18	46	12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Laferrere	Arsenal de Sarandi
CA Brown de Adrogue	1-0 W	1-1 D
Deportivo Armenio	1-1 D	0-0 D
CSD Flandria	2-1 W	1-0 W
Argentino Quilmes	1-1 D	0-1 L
Defensores Unidos	1-0 W	3-1 W
Club Comunicaciones	3-3 D	2-1 W
CS Dock Sud	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Laferrere (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Laferrere

WDWDWDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-1	3-1	3	3	W
26/07	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	5	1	L
18/07	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	7	W
15/07	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
10/07	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
04/07	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	9	4	W
28/06	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
20/06	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
13/06	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-1	3-3	1	6	D
07/06	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-1	2-1	4	3	W

Arsenal de Sarandi

LWWDWWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
25/07	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
18/07	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
14/07	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	4	9	L
10/07	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-1	3-1	9	5	W
04/07	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
28/06	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	10	D
21/06	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	3-1	4-2	4	9	W
13/06	Atletico Camioneros Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	4	10	W
06/06	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	1-3	8	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Laferrere vs Arsenal de Sarandi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Arsenal de Sarandi win (39%). Probabilities: Deportivo Laferrere 30%, draw 31%, Arsenal de Sarandi 39%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Laferrere vs Arsenal de Sarandi?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Deportivo Laferrere 1.07 · Arsenal de Sarandi 1.24), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Laferrere vs Arsenal de Sarandi?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.