Football · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women · 08/08, 15:00

Prediction: HPS (W) vs KuPS (W)

Team pages: HPS (W) · KuPS (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

HPS (W)1.43

KuPS (W)1.9

1X2

28% 24% 48%

HPS (W) Draw KuPS (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

HPS (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDWWWDLL

KuPS (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLLLW

Head-to-head

HPS (W) 2–2–2 KuPS (W) (6 last)

HPS (W)3-2KuPS (W)
KuPS (W)0-0HPS (W)
HPS (W)2-1KuPS (W)
KuPS (W)5-1HPS (W)
HPS (W)2-3KuPS (W)
KuPS (W)2-2HPS (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HPS (W) 1528 · KuPS (W) 1528

	HPS (W)	Draw	KuPS (W)
Our model	28%	24%	48%
Market	28%	24%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HPS (W)	KuPS (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.7	2.9 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.75

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 3.25▲	Pinn 3.57 ★
X	3.60 → 3.75▲	Bet365 3.75
2	2.05 → 1.91▼	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.8% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:29 +1’	2.88	3.60	2.05
01:03 +6’	3.25▲	3.75▲	1.91▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:20	3.57	3.70	1.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HPS (W) 2–2–2 KuPS (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	HPS (W)	3-2 HT 1-2	KuPS (W)
28/03/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	KuPS (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	HPS (W)
03/10/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	HPS (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	KuPS (W)
06/09/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	KuPS (W)	5-1 HT 2-0	HPS (W)
09/08/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	HPS (W)	2-3 HT 2-1	KuPS (W)
14/06/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	KuPS (W)	2-2 HT 1-0	HPS (W)

Standings · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women · Kansallinen Liiga, Women 2026, Championship Round

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HJK (W)	14	13	0	1	38	9	39
2	Aland United (W)	14	9	1	4	41	19	28
3	KuPS (W)	14	9	1	4	31	21	28
4	HPS (W)	14	7	3	4	19	15	24
5	Ilves (W)	14	7	1	6	27	26	22
6	IF Gnistan (W)	14	4	1	9	21	32	13

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HPS (W)	KuPS (W)
Ilves (W)	1-2 L	2-4 L
HJK (W)	0-4 L	0-1 L
VIFK (W)	1-1 D	5-1 W
PK-35 Vantaa (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Aland United (W)	0-0 D	1-3 L
IF Gnistan (W)	4-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: HPS (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

HPS (W)

LWWDWWWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	1-2	5	1	L
19/07	HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	0-4	5	1	L
12/07	VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	1-1	9	2	D
08/07	EBK (W) Finland Cup Women	2-0	4-0	6	2	W
04/07	PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
01/07	SJK-J (W) Finland Cup Women	0-1	5-1	11	0	W
28/06	Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
13/06	IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-0	4-0	9	3	W
29/05	KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-2	3-2	1	6	W
22/05	Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	0-1	6	2	L

KuPS (W)

LWWWWLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	1-0	8	8	W
18/07	Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-1	1-3	5	6	L
12/07	Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	2-4	8	4	L
08/07	HJK (W) Finland Cup Women	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
04/07	HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-2	0-2	3	3	L
01/07	Aland United (W) Finland Cup Women	2-1	2-1	2	5	W
27/06	VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	2-0	5-1	9	2	W
17/06	IF Gnistan (W) Finland Cup Women	2-0	2-0	5	3	W
12/06	PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
29/05	HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	2-1	2-3	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HPS (W) vs KuPS (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KuPS (W) win (48%). Probabilities: HPS (W) 28%, draw 24%, KuPS (W) 48%.

How many goals are expected in HPS (W) vs KuPS (W)?

The model expects 3.33 goals (HPS (W) 1.43 · KuPS (W) 1.9), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in HPS (W) vs KuPS (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.