Prediction: IF Gnistan (W) vs HJK (W)
Team pages: IF Gnistan (W) · HJK (W)
- IF Gnistan (W)0-1HJK (W)
- HJK (W)5-0IF Gnistan (W)
| IF Gnistan (W) | Draw | HJK (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 6% | 15% | 79% |
| Market | 6% | 11% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJK (W) (rating 1454 vs 1618).
- H2H favours HJK (W): 2-0-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IF Gnistan (W) | HJK (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 2.6 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 2.9 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 1.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Gnistan (W) 0–0–2 HJK (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | IF Gnistan (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | HJK (W) |
| 09/05/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | HJK (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | IF Gnistan (W) |
Standings · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women · Kansallinen Liiga, Women 2026, Championship Round
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK (W) | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 9 | 39 |
| 2 | Aland United (W) | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 44 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | KuPS (W) | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 28 |
| 4 | HPS (W) | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 27 |
| 5 | Ilves (W) | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 29 | 22 |
| 6 | IF Gnistan (W) | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 32 | 13 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IF Gnistan (W) | HJK (W) |
|---|---|---|
| KuPS (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Ilves (W) | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| HPS (W) | 0-4 L | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: HJK (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IF Gnistan (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 18/07 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 12/07 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | KuPS (W) Finland Cup Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/05 | HIFK (W) Finland Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
HJK (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | PSV (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 05/08 | Racing FC Union (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | KuPS (W) Finland Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/06 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Cup Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/06 | HJK U18 (W) Finland Cup Women |
5-1 | 6-1 | 13 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IF Gnistan (W) vs HJK (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HJK (W) win (81%). Probabilities: IF Gnistan (W) 6%, draw 13%, HJK (W) 81%.
How many goals are expected in IF Gnistan (W) vs HJK (W)?
The model expects 3.33 goals (IF Gnistan (W) 0.67 · HJK (W) 2.67), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in IF Gnistan (W) vs HJK (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.