Prediction: HJK (W) vs KuPS (W)
Team pages: HJK (W) · KuPS (W)
- KuPS (W)0-1HJK (W)
- HJK (W)2-0KuPS (W)
- KuPS (W)2-1HJK (W)
- HJK (W)1-2KuPS (W)
- HJK (W)3-2KuPS (W)
- KuPS (W)1-0HJK (W)
| HJK (W) | Draw | KuPS (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| Market | 69% | 19% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJK (W) (rating 1598 vs 1502).
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HJK (W) | KuPS (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.6 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.6 | 2.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HJK (W) 3–0–3 KuPS (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/26 Finland Cup Women | KuPS (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | HJK (W) |
| 04/07/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | HJK (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | KuPS (W) |
| 02/05/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | KuPS (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | HJK (W) |
| 21/03/26 Finland Cup Women | HJK (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | KuPS (W) |
| 12/10/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | HJK (W) | 3-2 HT 1-0 | KuPS (W) |
| 15/08/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | KuPS (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | HJK (W) |
Standings · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women · Kansallinen Liiga, Women 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK (W) | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 10 | 42 |
| 2 | Aland United (W) | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 44 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | KuPS (W) | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 28 |
| 4 | HPS (W) | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 27 |
| 5 | Ilves (W) | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 31 | 22 |
| 6 | IF Gnistan (W) | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 16 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HJK (W) | KuPS (W) |
|---|---|---|
| IF Gnistan (W) | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| HPS (W) | 4-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Ilves (W) | 3-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: HJK (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HJK (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | PSV (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 05/08 | Racing FC Union (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | KuPS (W) Finland Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/06 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Cup Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
KuPS (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 18/07 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 08/07 | HJK (W) Finland Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/07 | Aland United (W) Finland Cup Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Cup Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HJK (W) vs KuPS (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HJK (W) win (68%). Probabilities: HJK (W) 68%, draw 19%, KuPS (W) 13%.
How many goals are expected in HJK (W) vs KuPS (W)?
The model expects 3.33 goals (HJK (W) 2.38 · KuPS (W) 0.95), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in HJK (W) vs KuPS (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.