Prediction: Aland United (W) vs HPS (W)
Team pages: Aland United (W) · HPS (W)
- Aland United (W)0-0HPS (W)
- HPS (W)1-0Aland United (W)
- HPS (W)2-1Aland United (W)
- Aland United (W)6-2HPS (W)
- HPS (W)3-1Aland United (W)
- Aland United (W)3-2HPS (W)
| Aland United (W) | Draw | HPS (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 24% | 28% |
| Market | 48% | 24% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours HPS (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aland United (W) | HPS (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 0.9 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.7 | 2.4 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aland United (W) 2–1–3 HPS (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | Aland United (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | HPS (W) |
| 25/04/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | HPS (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Aland United (W) |
| 18/10/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | HPS (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Aland United (W) |
| 07/10/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | Aland United (W) | 6-2 HT 2-1 | HPS (W) |
| 28/06/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | HPS (W) | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Aland United (W) |
| 26/04/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | Aland United (W) | 3-2 HT 1-1 | HPS (W) |
Standings · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women · Kansallinen Liiga, Women 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK (W) | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 10 | 42 |
| 2 | Aland United (W) | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 44 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | KuPS (W) | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 28 |
| 4 | HPS (W) | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 27 |
| 5 | Ilves (W) | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 31 | 22 |
| 6 | IF Gnistan (W) | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 16 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aland United (W) | HPS (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ilves (W) | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| VIFK (W) | 6-1 W | 1-1 D |
| KuPS (W) | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| HJK (W) | 2-3 L | 0-4 L |
| IF Gnistan (W) | 4-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Aland United (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aland United (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-0 | 6-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
4-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 01/07 | KuPS (W) Finland Cup Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/06 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
HPS (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 12/07 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 08/07 | EBK (W) Finland Cup Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 01/07 | SJK-J (W) Finland Cup Women |
0-1 | 5-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 28/06 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aland United (W) vs HPS (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aland United (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Aland United (W) 48%, draw 24%, HPS (W) 28%.
How many goals are expected in Aland United (W) vs HPS (W)?
The model expects 3.45 goals (Aland United (W) 1.98 · HPS (W) 1.48), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Aland United (W) vs HPS (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.