Football · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women · 17/10, 17:00

Prediction: Aland United (W) vs HJK (W)

Team pages: Aland United (W) · HJK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.06Total

Aland United (W)2.09

HJK (W)1.97

1X2

41% 22% 37%

Aland United (W) Draw HJK (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Aland United (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLLWLW

HJK (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLDWWWWL

Head-to-head

Aland United (W) 0–1–5 HJK (W) (6 last)

HJK (W)2-1Aland United (W)
Aland United (W)2-3HJK (W)
HJK (W)3-2Aland United (W)
HJK (W)4-2Aland United (W)
Aland United (W)2-2HJK (W)
HJK (W)3-1Aland United (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours HJK (W): 5-1-0.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aland United (W)	HJK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.3	2.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	1.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.3	3.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	1.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.54 → 2.54	Pinn 2.54
X	3.73 → 3.73	Pinn 3.73
2	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
06:58 +27’	2.54	3.73	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aland United (W) 0–1–5 HJK (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	HJK (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Aland United (W)
12/06/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	Aland United (W)	2-3 HT 1-2	HJK (W)
02/04/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	HJK (W)	3-2 HT 0-0	Aland United (W)
24/01/26 Finland Cup Women	HJK (W)	4-2 HT 1-1	Aland United (W)
03/10/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	Aland United (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	HJK (W)
21/09/25 Finland Cup Women	HJK (W)	3-1 HT 2-0	Aland United (W)

Standings · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women · Kansallinen Liiga, Women 2026, Championship Round

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HJK (W)	23	18	1	4	60	24	55
2	Aland United (W)	23	15	1	7	59	30	46
3	KuPS (W)	22	13	3	6	43	29	42
4	HPS (W)	22	12	5	5	34	25	41
5	Ilves (W)	22	8	2	12	39	45	26
6	IF Gnistan (W)	22	5	1	16	29	56	16

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aland United (W)	HJK (W)
IF Gnistan (W)	3-1 W	6-1 W
HPS (W)	0-1 L	2-3 L
Ilves (W)	3-2 W	5-2 W
KuPS (W)	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: HJK (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aland United (W)

WWWWWLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-0	3-1	10	2	W
26/09	HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
19/09	Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	2-0	3-2	3	1	W
13/09	KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	0-2	8	3	L
29/08	HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-1	1-2	7	0	L
23/08	IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	3-2	7	2	W
16/08	HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
08/08	Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	3-0	9	1	W
25/07	VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	2-0	6-1	9	0	W
18/07	KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-1	3-1	2	6	W

HJK (W)

WWWLDWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-3	2-3	3	4	L
26/09	KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
19/09	IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	2-1	6-1	9	0	W
12/09	Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	3-1	5-2	10	1	W
29/08	Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-1	2-1	9	0	W
21/08	HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-2	3-3	2	3	D
17/08	KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
12/08	IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	3-0	3-1	3	2	W
25/07	PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-0	2-0	8	1	W
19/07	HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-0	4-0	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aland United (W) vs HJK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aland United (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Aland United (W) 41%, draw 22%, HJK (W) 37%.

How many goals are expected in Aland United (W) vs HJK (W)?

The model expects 4.06 goals (Aland United (W) 2.09 · HJK (W) 1.97), with a 57% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Aland United (W) vs HJK (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.