Football · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: KuPS (W) vs Aland United (W)

Team pages: KuPS (W) · Aland United (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

KuPS (W)1.68

Aland United (W)1.58

1X2

40% 24% 36%

KuPS (W) Draw Aland United (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

KuPS (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Aland United (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

KuPS (W) 5–1 Aland United (W) (6 last)

Aland United (W)0-2KuPS (W)
KuPS (W)1-3Aland United (W)
Aland United (W)1-2KuPS (W)
Aland United (W)1-6KuPS (W)
KuPS (W)2-1Aland United (W)
Aland United (W)2-5KuPS (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KuPS (W) 1560 · Aland United (W) 1536

	KuPS (W)	Draw	Aland United (W)
Our model	39%	25%	35%
Market	41%	22%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours KuPS (W): 5-0-1.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KuPS (W)	Aland United (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.8	2.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.9	3.6 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	1.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X4.00

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
01:07 +5’	2.20	4.00	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KuPS (W) 5–0–1 Aland United (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/09/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	Aland United (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	KuPS (W)
18/07/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	KuPS (W)	1-3 HT 1-1	Aland United (W)
01/07/26 Finland Cup Women	Aland United (W)	1-2 HT 1-2	KuPS (W)
17/05/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	Aland United (W)	1-6 HT 1-2	KuPS (W)
27/09/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	KuPS (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	Aland United (W)
30/08/25 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	Aland United (W)	2-5 HT 0-5	KuPS (W)

Standings · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women · Kansallinen Liiga, Women 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HJK (W)	23	18	1	4	60	24	55
2	Aland United (W)	23	15	1	7	59	30	46
3	KuPS (W)	23	14	3	6	48	29	45
4	HPS (W)	23	13	5	5	38	25	44
5	Ilves (W)	23	8	2	13	39	49	26
6	IF Gnistan (W)	23	5	1	17	29	61	16

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KuPS (W)	Aland United (W)
IF Gnistan (W)	5-0 W	3-1 W
Ilves (W)	3-3 D	3-2 W
HJK (W)	0-1 L	3-0 W
HPS (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KuPS (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	2-0	5-0	11	5	W
03/10	Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	3-3	4	0	D
26/09	HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
19/09	HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
13/09	Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
29/08	IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	2-0	2-0	6	1	W
22/08	Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-1	2-1	7	1	W
17/08	HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
08/08	HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-0	2-3	3	5	L
25/07	IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	1-0	8	8	W

Aland United (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	3-0	4	1	W
03/10	IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-0	3-1	10	2	W
26/09	HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
19/09	Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	2-0	3-2	3	1	W
13/09	KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	0-2	8	3	L
29/08	HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-1	1-2	7	0	L
23/08	IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	3-2	7	2	W
16/08	HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
08/08	Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-0	3-0	9	1	W
25/07	VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	2-0	6-1	9	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KuPS (W) vs Aland United (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KuPS (W) win (40%). Probabilities: KuPS (W) 40%, draw 24%, Aland United (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in KuPS (W) vs Aland United (W)?

The model expects 3.27 goals (KuPS (W) 1.68 · Aland United (W) 1.58), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in KuPS (W) vs Aland United (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.