Football · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women · 08/08, 13:00

Prediction: HJS (W) vs VIFK (W)

Team pages: HJS (W) · VIFK (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

HJS (W)1.21

VIFK (W)2.23

1X2

19% 22% 60%

HJS (W) Draw VIFK (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

HJS (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLDDDW

VIFK (W) 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLDDL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HJS (W) 1514 · VIFK (W) 1401

	HJS (W)	Draw	VIFK (W)
Our model	19%	22%	60%
Market	19%	22%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJS (W) (rating 1514 vs 1401).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HJS (W)	VIFK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.4	0.7 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.2 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	10/0/90%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.1	1.5 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	1.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.10

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.95

2 (-1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	4.10 → 4.00▼	Bet365 4.00
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
20:04 +13’	4.75	4.10	1.50
03:09 +4’	4.75	4.00▼	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women · Kansallinen Liiga, Women 2026, Relegation Round

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PK-35 Vantaa (W)	14	2	1	11	13	36	7
2	VIFK (W)	14	0	2	12	8	40	2
3	EBK (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	FC Honka (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	HJS (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	JyPK (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

HJS (W)

WLWWLLDDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	HJK II (W) Finland Ykkonen Women	2-1	5-2	2	3	W
19/07	ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women	0-0	0-0	10	3	D
11/07	EBK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
07/07	FC Lahti (W) Finland Ykkonen Women	0-1	2-2	6	3	D
28/06	TPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women	1-1	2-3	2	4	L
14/06	PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Finland Ykkonen Women	0-2	1-2	9	1	L
06/06	JyPK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
02/06	KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women	3-0	4-0	2	3	W
23/05	FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
17/05	HJK II (W) Finland Ykkonen Women	2-0	3-2	2	1	W

VIFK (W)

LLLLLLLDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-2	1-6	2	0	L
19/07	PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
12/07	HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
05/07	IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
27/06	KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-2	1-5	5	2	L
14/06	Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
29/05	HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	0-4	1	1	L
21/05	Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
17/05	PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	1-2	1-2	4	0	L
10/05	HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women	0-1	2-3	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HJS (W) vs VIFK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an VIFK (W) win (60%). Probabilities: HJS (W) 19%, draw 22%, VIFK (W) 60%.

How many goals are expected in HJS (W) vs VIFK (W)?

The model expects 3.44 goals (HJS (W) 1.21 · VIFK (W) 2.23), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in HJS (W) vs VIFK (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.