Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 31/07, 20:00

Prediction: CA Claypole vs Lujan

Team pages: CA Claypole · Lujan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.11Total

CA Claypole0.96

Lujan1.15

1X2

29% 32% 39%

CA Claypole Draw Lujan

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

CA Claypole 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DLLDLWLLDD

Lujan 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLWDW

Head-to-head

CA Claypole 3–3–0 Lujan (6 last)

Lujan0-1CA Claypole
CA Claypole1-1Lujan
Lujan0-0CA Claypole
CA Claypole1-0Lujan
Lujan1-1CA Claypole
Lujan0-2CA Claypole

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Claypole 1463 · Lujan 1566

	CA Claypole	Draw	Lujan
Our model	29%	32%	39%
Market	29%	32%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.11 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lujan (rating 1463 vs 1566).
H2H favours CA Claypole: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Claypole	Lujan
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.6	1.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.7	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.4	5.3 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

13.10

X2.75

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.80

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:10 +4’	3.10	2.75	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Claypole 3–3–0 Lujan

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Lujan	0-1 HT 0-0	CA Claypole
07/10/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	CA Claypole	1-1 HT 1-0	Lujan
05/05/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Lujan	0-0 HT 0-0	CA Claypole
04/09/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	CA Claypole	1-0 HT 0-0	Lujan
23/04/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Lujan	1-1 HT 0-1	CA Claypole
03/09/22 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Lujan	0-2 HT 0-1	CA Claypole

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	20	10	6	4	25	15	36
2	Canuelas FC	21	9	9	3	23	13	36
3	Deportivo Espanol	21	7	10	4	18	14	31
4	Yupanqui	21	7	8	6	25	22	29
5	Leones de Rosario	20	7	8	5	19	19	29
6	General Lamadrid	21	7	8	6	18	20	29
7	Sportivo Barracas	21	8	4	9	25	23	28
8	El Porvenir	21	4	13	4	17	18	25
9	CA Atlas	20	6	7	7	16	18	25
10	Central Cordoba de Rosario	20	5	8	7	14	15	23
11	Central Ballester	20	6	4	10	19	24	22
12	CA Claypole	20	5	7	8	15	23	22
13	Deportivo Muniz	21	4	9	8	15	20	21
14	Fenix	21	5	6	10	14	22	21

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Claypole	Lujan
General Lamadrid	0-0 D	1-0 W
Leones de Rosario	1-1 D	2-0 W
CA Atlas	1-2 L	3-2 W
Canuelas FC	0-2 L	2-1 W
Yupanqui	0-4 L	2-0 W
Central Ballester	0-0 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 3 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Lujan (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Claypole

DLLDLWLLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
13/07	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
05/07	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	7	6	L
30/06	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	0	7	L
14/06	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	8	7	W
06/06	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
30/05	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	2-2	4	6	D
22/05	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-4	8	5	L
17/05	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	6	8	L
09/05	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	6	D

Lujan

WWWWWWLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	3-1	4	4	W
11/07	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
05/07	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	2	6	W
29/06	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
14/06	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	8	8	W
07/06	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	9	W
30/05	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
24/05	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-2	3-2	3	9	W
17/05	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	2	9	W
10/05	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-1	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Claypole vs Lujan?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lujan win (39%). Probabilities: CA Claypole 29%, draw 32%, Lujan 39%.

How many goals are expected in CA Claypole vs Lujan?

The model expects 2.11 goals (CA Claypole 0.96 · Lujan 1.15), with a 54% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Claypole vs Lujan?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.