Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 08/08, 22:00

Prediction: Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Puerto Nuevo

Team pages: Juventud Unida San Miguel · Puerto Nuevo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.07Total

Juventud Unida San Miguel1.15

Puerto Nuevo0.92

1X2

40% 33% 28%

Juventud Unida San Miguel Draw Puerto Nuevo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Juventud Unida San Miguel 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWLDWW

Puerto Nuevo 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWWLDW

Head-to-head

Juventud Unida San Miguel 1–3–2 Puerto Nuevo (6 last)

Puerto Nuevo2-2Juventud Unida San Miguel
Juventud Unida San Miguel4-0Puerto Nuevo
Puerto Nuevo1-1Juventud Unida San Miguel
Puerto Nuevo1-1Juventud Unida San Miguel
Juventud Unida San Miguel2-3Puerto Nuevo
Puerto Nuevo2-0Juventud Unida San Miguel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juventud Unida San Miguel 1552 · Puerto Nuevo 1540

	Juventud Unida San Miguel	Draw	Puerto Nuevo
Our model	40%	33%	28%
Market	40%	32%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.07 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Puerto Nuevo: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Juventud Unida San Miguel	Puerto Nuevo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.4 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.9	1.5 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.25

X2.75

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.82

Under 1.751.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:22 +16’	2.25	2.75	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventud Unida San Miguel 1–3–2 Puerto Nuevo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Puerto Nuevo	2-2 HT 0-1	Juventud Unida San Miguel
17/11/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	4-0 HT 2-0	Puerto Nuevo
16/06/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Puerto Nuevo	1-1 HT 0-0	Juventud Unida San Miguel
26/09/21 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Puerto Nuevo	1-1 HT 1-0	Juventud Unida San Miguel
17/05/21 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	2-3 HT 1-2	Puerto Nuevo
13/12/20 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Puerto Nuevo	2-0 HT 0-0	Juventud Unida San Miguel

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sacachispas	22	11	5	6	27	16	38
2	Berazategui	22	9	9	4	24	15	36
3	CA Lugano	22	9	8	5	27	20	35
4	Club Mercedes	22	8	9	5	23	12	33
5	Puerto Nuevo	22	8	9	5	19	19	33
6	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	22	8	8	6	23	20	32
7	Centro Espanol	22	8	7	7	27	20	31
8	Victoriano Arenas	22	7	10	5	18	13	31
9	Juventud Unida San Miguel	21	7	7	7	23	20	28
10	Club Leandro N. Alem	21	7	6	8	25	34	27
11	Defensores de Cambaceres	22	5	7	10	17	26	22
12	JJ Urquiza	22	3	12	7	9	18	21
13	Deportivo Paraguayo	22	4	8	10	12	27	20
14	Argentino de Rosario	22	2	12	8	20	28	18

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juventud Unida San Miguel	Puerto Nuevo
Sacachispas	0-1 L	1-0 W
Argentino de Rosario	3-0 W	0-0 D
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	2-0 W	1-0 W
Berazategui	1-2 L	2-0 W
Victoriano Arenas	1-1 D	2-1 W
Centro Espanol	3-2 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juventud Unida San Miguel

WWDLWWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/08	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	10	W
26/07	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	3-1	2	5	W
12/07	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
05/07	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
27/06	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
14/06	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
08/06	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
31/05	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
23/05	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	3-2	4	6	W
16/05	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	0	2	W

Puerto Nuevo

WDWLWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	3	10	W
23/07	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
17/07	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
12/07	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/07	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
28/06	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	2	10	W
14/06	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	1	6	L
06/06	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/05	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
23/05	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	2	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Puerto Nuevo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Juventud Unida San Miguel win (40%). Probabilities: Juventud Unida San Miguel 40%, draw 33%, Puerto Nuevo 28%.

How many goals are expected in Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Puerto Nuevo?

The model expects 2.07 goals (Juventud Unida San Miguel 1.15 · Puerto Nuevo 0.92), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Juventud Unida San Miguel vs Puerto Nuevo?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.