Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 10/08, 20:00

Prediction: Sportivo Barracas vs CA Claypole

Team pages: Sportivo Barracas · CA Claypole

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Sportivo Barracas1.34

CA Claypole1.24

1X2

37% 31% 32%

Sportivo Barracas Draw CA Claypole

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sportivo Barracas 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLWWLLLW

CA Claypole 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLDDLL

Head-to-head

Sportivo Barracas 2–3 CA Claypole (5 last)

CA Claypole1-0Sportivo Barracas
Sportivo Barracas0-5CA Claypole
CA Claypole0-2Sportivo Barracas
Sportivo Barracas0-1CA Claypole
Sportivo Barracas3-1CA Claypole

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sportivo Barracas 1488 · CA Claypole 1442

	Sportivo Barracas	Draw	CA Claypole
Our model	38%	29%	33%
Market	36%	32%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Barracas (rating 1488 vs 1442).
H2H favours CA Claypole: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sportivo Barracas	CA Claypole
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	0.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.7	1.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.8 / 0.3	5.6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.50

X2.80

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:46 +2’	2.50	2.80	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Barracas 2–0–3 CA Claypole

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	CA Claypole	1-0 HT 1-0	Sportivo Barracas
29/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	0-5 HT 0-0	CA Claypole
29/04/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	CA Claypole	0-2 HT 0-0	Sportivo Barracas
05/12/20 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	0-1 HT 0-1	CA Claypole
25/11/19 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Sportivo Barracas	3-1 HT 0-1	CA Claypole

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	22	12	6	4	30	16	42
2	Canuelas FC	22	10	9	3	25	14	39
3	Deportivo Espanol	23	7	12	4	18	14	33
4	Yupanqui	23	8	8	7	29	24	32
5	Leones de Rosario	22	7	10	5	20	20	31
6	General Lamadrid	23	7	9	7	19	23	30
7	Sportivo Barracas	21	8	4	9	25	23	28
8	Central Cordoba de Rosario	22	6	8	8	17	17	26
9	CA Atlas	22	6	8	8	17	21	26
9	El Porvenir	23	4	14	5	17	21	26
11	Central Ballester	21	6	5	10	19	24	23
12	Deportivo Muniz	22	4	10	8	16	21	22
13	Fenix	22	5	7	10	14	22	22
14	CA Claypole	22	5	7	10	16	28	22

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sportivo Barracas	CA Claypole
Yupanqui	2-3 L	0-4 L
Lujan	2-0 W	1-3 L
General Lamadrid	2-0 W	0-0 D
Leones de Rosario	0-2 L	1-1 D
CA Atlas	1-0 W	1-2 L
Canuelas FC	1-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sportivo Barracas (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sportivo Barracas

WLWLWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/07	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	3-2	3	5	W
17/07	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-2	2-3	4	8	L
13/07	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
06/07	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-3	6	8	L
29/06	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
15/06	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	3	12	W
06/06	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	11	3	L
01/06	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
23/05	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-3	1-3	8	7	L
18/05	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	4	10	W

CA Claypole

LDLWLLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/08	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	7	10	L
31/07	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-3	2	6	L
26/07	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
13/07	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
05/07	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	7	6	L
30/06	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	0	7	L
14/06	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	8	7	W
06/06	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
30/05	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	2-2	4	6	D
22/05	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-4	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sportivo Barracas vs CA Claypole?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportivo Barracas win (37%). Probabilities: Sportivo Barracas 37%, draw 31%, CA Claypole 32%.

How many goals are expected in Sportivo Barracas vs CA Claypole?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Sportivo Barracas 1.34 · CA Claypole 1.24), with a 61% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sportivo Barracas vs CA Claypole?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.