Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 09/08, 20:00
Prediction: CA Atlas vs Canuelas FC
Team pages: CA Atlas · Canuelas FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.76Total
CA Atlas0.82
Canuelas FC0.94
1X2
CA Atlas
Draw
Canuelas FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
CA Atlas
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Canuelas FC
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Atlas
0–1–2
Canuelas FC
(3 last)
- Canuelas FC1-0CA Atlas
- Canuelas FC2-1CA Atlas
- CA Atlas0-0Canuelas FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Atlas 1489 · Canuelas FC 1577
| CA Atlas | Draw | Canuelas FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 36% | 35% |
| Market | 31% | 31% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.76 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canuelas FC (rating 1489 vs 1577).
- H2H favours Canuelas FC: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Atlas | Canuelas FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.5 | 2.8 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.5 | 5.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Atlas 0–1–2 Canuelas FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Canuelas FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Atlas |
| 28/06/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Canuelas FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | CA Atlas |
| 16/03/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Atlas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Canuelas FC |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 39 |
| 3 | Deportivo Espanol | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 33 |
| 4 | Leones de Rosario | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 31 |
| 5 | General Lamadrid | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 30 |
| 6 | Yupanqui | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 29 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 23 | 28 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 26 |
| 9 | El Porvenir | 22 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 26 |
| 10 | CA Atlas | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 21 | 26 |
| 11 | Central Ballester | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 24 | 23 |
| 12 | Deportivo Muniz | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 22 |
| 13 | Fenix | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 22 |
| 14 | CA Claypole | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 28 | 22 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Atlas | Canuelas FC |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Muniz | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Espanol | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Central Cordoba de Rosario | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| CA Claypole | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Central Ballester | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| El Porvenir | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Fenix | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Sportivo Barracas | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Atlas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 30/07 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 30/06 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 06/06 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 01/06 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
Canuelas FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 05/07 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 30/06 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 01/06 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Atlas vs Canuelas FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Canuelas FC win (37%). Probabilities: CA Atlas 30%, draw 33%, Canuelas FC 37%.
How many goals are expected in CA Atlas vs Canuelas FC?
The model expects 1.76 goals (CA Atlas 0.82 · Canuelas FC 0.94), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Atlas vs Canuelas FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.