Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 10/08, 20:00
Prediction: Sacachispas vs Deportivo Paraguayo
Team pages: Sacachispas · Deportivo Paraguayo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.54Total
Sacachispas1.13
Deportivo Paraguayo0.41
1X2
Sacachispas
Draw
Deportivo Paraguayo
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 59%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sacachispas
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Paraguayo
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sacachispas
0–1
Deportivo Paraguayo
(1 last)
- Deportivo Paraguayo2-1Sacachispas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sacachispas 1524 · Deportivo Paraguayo 1465
| Sacachispas | Draw | Deportivo Paraguayo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 35% | 12% |
| Market | 56% | 28% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.54 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sacachispas (rating 1524 vs 1465).
- Cards-heavy: 12.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sacachispas | Deportivo Paraguayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.9 | 2.2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7.2 / 0.5 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sacachispas 0–0–1 Deportivo Paraguayo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Paraguayo | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Sacachispas |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 16 | 38 |
| 2 | Berazategui | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 24 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | CA Lugano | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 35 |
| 4 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 35 |
| 5 | Centro Espanol | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 20 | 34 |
| 6 | Club Mercedes | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 33 |
| 7 | Puerto Nuevo | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 33 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 31 |
| 9 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 20 | 28 |
| 10 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 36 | 27 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 25 |
| 12 | Argentino de Rosario | 23 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 28 | 21 |
| 13 | JJ Urquiza | 23 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 21 |
| 14 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 27 | 20 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sacachispas | Deportivo Paraguayo |
|---|---|---|
| Puerto Nuevo | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| CA Lugano | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Argentino de Rosario | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Berazategui | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Victoriano Arenas | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sacachispas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 31/07 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 27/07 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 11/07 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 05/07 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 15/06 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 13 | D |
| 03/06 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
Deportivo Paraguayo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 31/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 11/07 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 27/06 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sacachispas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sacachispas win (55%). Probabilities: Sacachispas 55%, draw 31%, Deportivo Paraguayo 14%.
How many goals are expected in Sacachispas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
The model expects 1.54 goals (Sacachispas 1.13 · Deportivo Paraguayo 0.41), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sacachispas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
The model gives a 59% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.