Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 10/08, 20:00

Prediction: Fenix vs Central Ballester

Team pages: Fenix · Central Ballester

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Fenix1.28

Central Ballester0.98

1X2

41% 32% 26%

Fenix Draw Central Ballester

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fenix 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Central Ballester 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Fenix 0–1 Central Ballester (1 last)

Central Ballester4-2Fenix

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fenix 1487 · Central Ballester 1478

	Fenix	Draw	Central Ballester
Our model	42%	31%	27%
Market	41%	33%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fenix	Central Ballester
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	0.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.4	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	5.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X2.70

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 1.752.02

Under 1.751.77

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:42 +6’	2.20	2.70	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fenix 0–0–1 Central Ballester

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Central Ballester	4-2 HT 1-1	Fenix

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	22	12	6	4	30	16	42
2	Canuelas FC	22	10	9	3	25	14	39
3	Deportivo Espanol	23	7	12	4	18	14	33
4	Yupanqui	23	8	8	7	29	24	32
5	Leones de Rosario	22	7	10	5	20	20	31
6	General Lamadrid	23	7	9	7	19	23	30
7	Sportivo Barracas	21	8	4	9	25	23	28
8	Central Cordoba de Rosario	22	6	8	8	17	17	26
9	CA Atlas	22	6	8	8	17	21	26
9	El Porvenir	23	4	14	5	17	21	26
11	Central Ballester	21	6	5	10	19	24	23
12	Deportivo Muniz	22	4	10	8	16	21	22
13	Fenix	22	5	7	10	14	22	22
14	CA Claypole	22	5	7	10	16	28	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fenix	Central Ballester
Puerto Nuevo	1-0 W	0-0 D
Lujan	1-2 L	1-3 L
General Lamadrid	3-1 W	3-0 W
Leones de Rosario	0-1 L	1-0 W
CA Atlas	1-1 D	0-2 L
Canuelas FC	0-2 L	0-1 L
Deportivo Muniz	0-1 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Fenix (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fenix

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
27/07	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
17/07	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	0	3	W
13/07	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	7	6	W
05/07	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	3	6	L
29/06	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	3-1	2	9	W
15/06	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
06/06	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
01/06	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
25/05	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	5	11	L

Central Ballester

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	10	9	D
26/07	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-3	5	4	L
12/07	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
04/07	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
30/06	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
14/06	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
07/06	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-4	3	5	L
30/05	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
23/05	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-3	2-3	2	6	L
17/05	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fenix vs Central Ballester?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fenix win (41%). Probabilities: Fenix 41%, draw 32%, Central Ballester 26%.

How many goals are expected in Fenix vs Central Ballester?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Fenix 1.28 · Central Ballester 0.98), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Fenix vs Central Ballester?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.