Prediction: Southern District vs Kitchee
Team pages: Southern District · Kitchee
- Kitchee3-0Southern District
- Southern District2-4Kitchee
- Southern District1-3Kitchee
- Southern District1-1Kitchee
- Kitchee1-1Southern District
- Southern District0-3Kitchee
| Southern District | Draw | Kitchee | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 20% | 60% |
| Market | 20% | 21% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Kitchee: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Southern District | Kitchee | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.6 | 2.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 3 / 7.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.6 | 4.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Southern District 0–2–4 Kitchee
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Hong Kong Premier League | Kitchee | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Southern District |
| 26/11/25 Hong Kong Premier League | Southern District | 2-4 HT 1-4 | Kitchee |
| 29/03/25 Hong Kong Premier League | Southern District | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Kitchee |
| 11/01/25 Hong Kong Premier League | Southern District | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Kitchee |
| 14/09/24 Hong Kong Premier League | Kitchee | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Southern District |
| 18/05/24 Hong Kong Premier League | Southern District | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Kitchee |
Standings · Hong Kong Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Man FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | North District | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Kitchee | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Tai Po | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Southern District | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Shatin | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 7 | Eastern District | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 8 | Eastern SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 9 | HK Rangers FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 | Hong Kong FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 | Kowloon City | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Southern District | Kitchee |
|---|---|---|
| Kowloon City | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Eastern District | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| HK Rangers FC | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| North District | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Tai Po | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Kitchee (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Southern District
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 22/08 | Hong Kong FC Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Eastern District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 15 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Hong Kong FC Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 15/03 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 28/02 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Kitchee
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Eastern District Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 12/04 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Southern District vs Kitchee?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kitchee win (60%). Probabilities: Southern District 20%, draw 21%, Kitchee 60%.
How many goals are expected in Southern District vs Kitchee?
The model expects 3.77 goals (Southern District 1.36 · Kitchee 2.4), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Southern District vs Kitchee?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.

