Prediction: Lee Man FC vs Eastern District
Team pages: Lee Man FC · Eastern District
- Eastern District0-0Lee Man FC
- Lee Man FC1-0Eastern District
| Lee Man FC | Draw | Eastern District | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 19% | 10% |
| Market | 72% | 17% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lee Man FC (rating 1570 vs 1465).
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lee Man FC | Eastern District | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.7 | 1.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lee Man FC 1–1–0 Eastern District
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Hong Kong Premier League | Eastern District | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lee Man FC |
| 18/10/25 Hong Kong Premier League | Lee Man FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Eastern District |
Standings · Hong Kong Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Man FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | North District | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Kitchee | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Tai Po | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Southern District | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Shatin | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 7 | Eastern District | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 8 | Eastern SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 9 | HK Rangers FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 | Hong Kong FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 | Kowloon City | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lee Man FC | Eastern District |
|---|---|---|
| Hong Kong FC | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Kowloon City | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Tai Po | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| North District | 4-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Eastern SC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Kitchee | 4-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Lee Man FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lee Man FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Hong Kong FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 28/08 | Shatin Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
2-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 18/04 | Kitchee Hong Kong Premier League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 12/04 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 03/04 | Eastern District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 21/03 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
Eastern District
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Kitchee Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Southern District Hong Kong Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Hong Kong FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 14/03 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 01/03 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lee Man FC vs Eastern District?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lee Man FC win (71%). Probabilities: Lee Man FC 71%, draw 18%, Eastern District 11%.
How many goals are expected in Lee Man FC vs Eastern District?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Lee Man FC 2.24 · Eastern District 0.74), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lee Man FC vs Eastern District?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.