Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 07/09, 21:00
Prediction: Trento vs Lecco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Trento1.43
Lecco0.93
1X2
Trento
Draw
Lecco
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Trento
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Lecco
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Trento
3–2–1
Lecco
(6 last)
- Trento1-1Lecco
- Lecco3-1Trento
- Lecco1-2Trento
- Trento1-1Lecco
- Trento2-0Lecco
- Lecco1-2Trento
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trento 1503 · Lecco 1477
| Trento | Draw | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 29% | 23% |
| Market | 47% | 30% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Trento: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Trento | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.8 | 1.5 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.5 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trento 3–2–1 Lecco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Italy Serie C Group A | Trento | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Lecco |
| 21/09/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Lecco | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Trento |
| 05/01/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Lecco | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Trento |
| 01/09/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Trento | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Lecco |
| 05/03/23 Italy Serie C Group A | Trento | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Lecco |
| 30/10/22 Italy Serie C Group A | Lecco | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Trento |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Brescia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Cittadella | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Alcione Milano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Albinoleffe | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Trento | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Treviso | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Lumezzane | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Desenzano | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | US Folgore Caratese | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 14 | Novara | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Pro Vercelli | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Lecco | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | AC Carpi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 18 | Giana Erminio | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Renate | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 | US Pergolettese | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Trento | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| Treviso | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Cittadella | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Alcione Milano | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Trento (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trento
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Treviso Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 08/04 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/03 | Triestina Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 14/03 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 07/03 | Virtus Verona Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Lecco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Treviso Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | US Pergolettese Italy Serie C Group A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 10/04 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 03/04 | Vicenza Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/03 | Pro Patria Italy Serie C Group A |
3-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 15/03 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 07/03 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trento vs Lecco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Trento win (47%). Probabilities: Trento 47%, draw 30%, Lecco 23%.
How many goals are expected in Trento vs Lecco?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Trento 1.43 · Lecco 0.93), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Trento vs Lecco?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.