Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 10/10, 17:30
Prediction: Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe
Team pages: Lumezzane · Albinoleffe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Lumezzane1.22
Albinoleffe1.11
1X2
Lumezzane
Draw
Albinoleffe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Lumezzane
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Albinoleffe
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lumezzane
4–1–1
Albinoleffe
(6 last)
- Lumezzane1-1Albinoleffe
- Albinoleffe0-1Lumezzane
- Albinoleffe2-0Lumezzane
- Lumezzane1-0Albinoleffe
- Albinoleffe2-3Lumezzane
- Lumezzane3-1Albinoleffe
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lumezzane 1519 · Albinoleffe 1505
| Lumezzane | Draw | Albinoleffe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 31% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Lumezzane: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lumezzane | Albinoleffe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.2 | 1.5 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lumezzane 4–1–1 Albinoleffe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Italy Serie C Group A | Lumezzane | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Albinoleffe |
| 22/11/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Albinoleffe | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Lumezzane |
| 23/03/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Albinoleffe | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Lumezzane |
| 10/11/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Lumezzane | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Albinoleffe |
| 28/04/24 Italy Serie C Group A | Albinoleffe | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Lumezzane |
| 23/12/23 Italy Serie C Group A | Lumezzane | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Albinoleffe |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | A.C. Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Albinoleffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| 9 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Novara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 12 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 9 |
| 13 | Pro Vercelli | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 15 | US Pergolettese | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| 16 | US Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 6 |
| 17 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| 18 | AC Carpi | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lumezzane | Albinoleffe |
|---|---|---|
| AC Dolomiti Bellunesi | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Cittadella | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Giana Erminio | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| A.C. Ospitaletto | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Albinoleffe (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lumezzane
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 21/09 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 17/09 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Virtus Verona Italy Serie C Group A |
4-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Lecco Italy Serie C Group A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
Albinoleffe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
3-0 | 5-3 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 17/09 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 19/04 | Triestina Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lumezzane win (38%). Probabilities: Lumezzane 38%, draw 30%, Albinoleffe 32%.
How many goals are expected in Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Lumezzane 1.22 · Albinoleffe 1.11), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lumezzane vs Albinoleffe?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.