Football · Italy Serie C Group A · 07/11, 14:30

Prediction: Pro Vercelli vs AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

Team pages: Pro Vercelli · AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

Pro Vercelli1.45

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi1.04

1X2

46% 28% 26%

Pro Vercelli Draw AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Pro Vercelli 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Pro Vercelli 2–0 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi (2 last)

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi1-2Pro Vercelli
Pro Vercelli4-0AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pro Vercelli 1491 · AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 1407

	Pro Vercelli	Draw	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
Our model	45%	29%	26%
Market	46%	28%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pro Vercelli (rating 1491 vs 1407).
H2H favours Pro Vercelli: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pro Vercelli	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.8	0.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.1	0.6 / 1.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.20

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:42 +34’	1.95	3.20	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pro Vercelli 2–0–0 AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Italy Serie C Group A	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi	1-2 HT 1-0	Pro Vercelli
05/10/25 Italy Serie C Group A	Pro Vercelli	4-0 HT 2-0	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

Standings · Italy Serie C Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cittadella	12	10	0	2	19	6	30
2	Union Brescia	12	7	4	1	23	9	25
3	Trento	12	6	6	0	17	6	24
4	ASD Union Arzignanochiampo	12	6	3	3	17	12	21
5	A.C. Ospitaletto	12	5	4	3	18	11	19
6	Treviso	12	5	4	3	12	9	19
7	Alcione Milano	12	4	6	2	21	18	18
8	Lecco	12	4	5	3	18	11	17
9	Albinoleffe	12	4	5	3	19	17	17
10	US Pergolettese	12	4	5	3	12	12	17
11	Lumezzane	12	3	4	5	13	17	13
12	Desenzano	12	3	4	5	10	14	13
13	Novara	12	3	4	5	11	16	13
14	Pro Vercelli	12	3	4	5	11	20	13
15	AC Carpi	12	3	3	6	16	26	12
16	Giana Erminio	12	2	5	5	13	17	11
17	Juventus U23	12	2	5	5	12	19	11
18	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi	12	2	4	6	8	18	10
19	Renate	12	1	5	6	14	16	8
20	US Folgore Caratese	12	1	4	7	11	21	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pro Vercelli	AC Dolomiti Bellunesi
Lecco	0-5 L	0-4 L
Union Brescia	0-2 L	1-1 D
Giana Erminio	1-1 D	2-1 W
Trento	0-4 L	0-3 L
Treviso	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: AC Dolomiti Bellunesi (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pro Vercelli

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
25/10	A.C. Ospitaletto Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
16/10	Lecco Italy Serie C Group A	0-2	0-5	3	5	L
09/10	Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
03/10	AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
26/09	Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	1-1	4	7	D
21/09	Trento Italy Serie C Group A	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
17/09	Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
13/09	Treviso Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	1-2	2	7	L
07/09	US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	1-0	6	4	W

AC Dolomiti Bellunesi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Lecco Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	0-4	0	2	L
24/10	Treviso Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
19/10	Trento Italy Serie C Group A	0-2	0-3	0	4	L
10/10	Desenzano Italy Serie C Group A	0-1	0-2	0	4	L
04/10	Novara Italy Serie C Group A	1-0	1-2	1	3	L
27/09	Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
21/09	Lumezzane Italy Serie C Group A	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
17/09	Renate Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
13/09	Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
06/09	Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A	0-0	2-1	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pro Vercelli vs AC Dolomiti Bellunesi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pro Vercelli win (46%). Probabilities: Pro Vercelli 46%, draw 28%, AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 26%.

How many goals are expected in Pro Vercelli vs AC Dolomiti Bellunesi?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Pro Vercelli 1.45 · AC Dolomiti Bellunesi 1.04), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pro Vercelli vs AC Dolomiti Bellunesi?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.