Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 04/08, 20:00

Prediction: CA Claypole vs Juventud Unida San Miguel

Team pages: CA Claypole · Juventud Unida San Miguel

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.18Total

CA Claypole1.14

Juventud Unida San Miguel1.04

1X2

36% 32% 31%

CA Claypole Draw Juventud Unida San Miguel

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

CA Claypole 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLLDDL

Juventud Unida San Miguel 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWWLDW

Head-to-head

CA Claypole 4–2–0 Juventud Unida San Miguel (6 last)

Juventud Unida San Miguel0-1CA Claypole
Juventud Unida San Miguel0-4CA Claypole
CA Claypole2-1Juventud Unida San Miguel
CA Claypole3-0Juventud Unida San Miguel
Juventud Unida San Miguel2-2CA Claypole
CA Claypole1-1Juventud Unida San Miguel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Claypole 1449 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 1516

	CA Claypole	Draw	Juventud Unida San Miguel
Our model	36%	32%	32%
Market	36%	33%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juventud Unida San Miguel (rating 1449 vs 1516).
H2H favours CA Claypole: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Claypole	Juventud Unida San Miguel
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.9	1.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.4	1.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.5	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X2.75

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.90

Under 1.751.90

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:02 +7’	2.50	2.75	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Claypole 4–2–0 Juventud Unida San Miguel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	0-1 HT 0-1	CA Claypole
01/12/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	0-4 HT 0-0	CA Claypole
30/06/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	CA Claypole	2-1 HT 2-1	Juventud Unida San Miguel
21/10/19 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	CA Claypole	3-0 HT 0-0	Juventud Unida San Miguel
27/04/19 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	Juventud Unida San Miguel	2-2 HT 1-1	CA Claypole
25/11/18 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana	CA Claypole	1-1 HT 0-0	Juventud Unida San Miguel

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	21	11	6	4	28	16	39
2	Canuelas FC	21	9	9	3	23	13	36
3	Deportivo Espanol	22	7	11	4	18	14	32
4	Leones de Rosario	21	7	9	5	19	19	30
5	Yupanqui	21	7	8	6	25	22	29
6	General Lamadrid	22	7	8	7	19	23	29
7	Sportivo Barracas	21	8	4	9	25	23	28
8	Central Cordoba de Rosario	21	6	8	7	17	16	26
9	CA Atlas	21	6	8	7	17	19	26
10	El Porvenir	21	4	13	4	17	18	25
11	Central Ballester	20	6	4	10	19	24	22
12	Deportivo Muniz	22	4	10	8	16	21	22
13	CA Claypole	21	5	7	9	16	26	22
14	Fenix	21	5	6	10	14	22	21

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Claypole

LLDLWLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-2	1-3	2	6	L
26/07	General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
13/07	Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
05/07	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	1-2	7	6	L
30/06	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-2	0	7	L
14/06	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	2-1	8	7	W
06/06	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
30/05	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	2-2	4	6	D
22/05	Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-4	8	5	L
17/05	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-3	6	8	L

Juventud Unida San Miguel

LWWDLWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-1	3-1	2	5	W
12/07	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
05/07	Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
27/06	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
14/06	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
08/06	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
31/05	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
23/05	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	3-2	4	6	W
16/05	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	0	2	W
09/05	JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Claypole vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Claypole win (36%). Probabilities: CA Claypole 36%, draw 32%, Juventud Unida San Miguel 31%.

How many goals are expected in CA Claypole vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

The model expects 2.18 goals (CA Claypole 1.14 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 1.04), with a 54% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Claypole vs Juventud Unida San Miguel?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.