Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 14/08, 20:00
Prediction: Puerto Nuevo vs Yupanqui
Team pages: Puerto Nuevo · Yupanqui
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Puerto Nuevo1
Yupanqui1.25
1X2
Puerto Nuevo
Draw
Yupanqui
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Nuevo
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Yupanqui
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puerto Nuevo
0–4–2
Yupanqui
(6 last)
- Yupanqui1-1Puerto Nuevo
- Puerto Nuevo0-0Yupanqui
- Yupanqui1-1Puerto Nuevo
- Puerto Nuevo1-1Yupanqui
- Yupanqui1-0Puerto Nuevo
- Puerto Nuevo1-2Yupanqui
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puerto Nuevo 1530 · Yupanqui 1485
| Puerto Nuevo | Draw | Yupanqui | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 31% | 41% |
| Market | 28% | 32% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Puerto Nuevo (rating 1530 vs 1485).
- H2H favours Yupanqui: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Puerto Nuevo | Yupanqui | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.4 | 5.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Nuevo 0–4–2 Yupanqui
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Yupanqui | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Puerto Nuevo |
| 03/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Puerto Nuevo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Yupanqui |
| 30/03/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Yupanqui | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Puerto Nuevo |
| 25/06/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Puerto Nuevo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Yupanqui |
| 18/02/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Yupanqui | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Puerto Nuevo |
| 17/10/21 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana | Puerto Nuevo | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Yupanqui |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 18 | 42 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 39 |
| 3 | Yupanqui | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 33 |
| 4 | Deportivo Espanol | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Barracas | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 23 | 31 |
| 6 | Leones de Rosario | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 31 |
| 7 | General Lamadrid | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 30 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 29 |
| 9 | CA Atlas | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 29 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 23 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 26 |
| 11 | Fenix | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 23 | 25 |
| 12 | Central Ballester | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 27 | 23 |
| 13 | Deportivo Muniz | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 22 |
| 14 | CA Claypole | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 30 | 22 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puerto Nuevo | Yupanqui |
|---|---|---|
| Argentino de Rosario | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Fenix | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Yupanqui (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Nuevo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 31/07 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 23/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 17/07 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 28/06 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 14/06 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
Yupanqui
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 27/07 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 06/07 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 27/06 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 06/06 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puerto Nuevo vs Yupanqui?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Yupanqui win (41%). Probabilities: Puerto Nuevo 28%, draw 31%, Yupanqui 41%.
How many goals are expected in Puerto Nuevo vs Yupanqui?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Puerto Nuevo 1 · Yupanqui 1.25), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Puerto Nuevo vs Yupanqui?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.