Prediction: CD Celoricense vs Vila Mea
Team pages: CD Celoricense · Vila Mea
| CD Celoricense | Draw | Vila Mea | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 33% | 20% |
| Market | 50% | 28% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Celoricense | Vila Mea | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/38/25% | 33/44/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 4.1 | 2.6 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.5 | 5 / 0.4 |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Braganca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | FC Tirsense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Chaves B | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Braga B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Limianos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Vila Mea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | CD Celoricense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Montalegre | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Rebordosa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Brito SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 11 | AD Ponte da Barca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 12 | SC Maria da Fonte | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | Maia Lidador | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| 14 | Futebol Clube de Vinhais | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Celoricense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Chaves B Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | FC Tirsense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | SC Maria da Fonte Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Montalegre Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | AD Camacha Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | AD Machico Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Brito SC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Sao Martinho Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 15/03 | SC Vianense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 08/03 | FC Tirsense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Vila Mea
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Futebol Clube de Vinhais Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Rebordosa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Limianos Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/08 | AD Ponte da Barca Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Anadia Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | SC Vila Real Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 04/04 | CD Gouveia Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 22/03 | Rebordosa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/03 | Uniao de Lamas Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/03 | Aparecida FC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Celoricense vs Vila Mea?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Celoricense win (49%). Probabilities: CD Celoricense 49%, draw 30%, Vila Mea 21%.
How many goals are expected in CD Celoricense vs Vila Mea?
The model expects 1.86 goals (CD Celoricense 1.19 · Vila Mea 0.67), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Celoricense vs Vila Mea?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.