Prediction: Oliveira Hospital vs Alverca B

Team pages: Oliveira Hospital · Alverca B

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Oliveira Hospital1.37
Alverca B0.78
1X2
50% 29% 21%
Oliveira Hospital Draw Alverca B
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Oliveira Hospital 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDWDLDLWWW
Alverca B 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oliveira Hospital 1543 · Alverca B 1530
Oliveira HospitalDrawAlverca B
Our model49%30%20%
Market51%27%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Oliveira HospitalAlverca B
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 12 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)13/75/13%56/22/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 4.13.5 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.3 / 0.43.6 / 0.4

Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Mortagua FC 4310 9410
2 O Elvas 4310 6210
3 Oliveira Hospital 4301 649
4 CF Os Marialvas 4301 829
5 UD da Serra 4220 648
6 Naval 1893 4202 646
7 AD Nogueirense 4130 876
8 Benfica e Castelo Branco 4202 796
9 Fatima 4112 654
10 AT Malveira 4112 474
11 Alverca B 4103 643
12 Sertanense 4022 372
13 Fazendense 4013 5121
14 GD Os Nazarenos 4004 1100

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOliveira HospitalAlverca B
Naval 1893 1-0 W 0-1 L
Benfica e Castelo Branco 2-3 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Oliveira Hospital (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oliveira Hospital

LDWDLDLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Fatima
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 1-0 34 W
06/09 Naval 1893
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 1-0 25 W
23/08 CF Os Marialvas
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
– 2-1 –– W
16/08 Benfica e Castelo Branco
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
– 2-3 –– L
31/05 AT Malveira
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-1 1-1 97 D
23/05 Louletano DC
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-1 1-2 412 L
17/05 GD Vitoria de Sernache
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 34 D
10/05 AT Malveira
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
2-0 2-0 110 W
03/05 Louletano DC
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-1 1-1 46 D
26/04 GD Vitoria de Sernache
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 1-2 75 L

Alverca B

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Fazendense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 5-0 41 W
13/09 Naval 1893
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-1 57 L
06/09 Benfica e Castelo Branco
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-1 57 L
23/08 UD da Serra
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
– 1-2 –– L
18/04 Comercio Industria
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
2-0 5-0 45 W
12/04 Serpa
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 1-0 55 W
04/04 Alcochetense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 0-1 52 L
29/03 Portimonense B
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 4-0 140 W
22/03 Clube Oriental Lisboa
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 2-1 35 W
15/03 GD Lagoa
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 2-1 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oliveira Hospital vs Alverca B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oliveira Hospital win (50%). Probabilities: Oliveira Hospital 50%, draw 29%, Alverca B 21%.

How many goals are expected in Oliveira Hospital vs Alverca B?

The model expects 2.15 goals (Oliveira Hospital 1.37 · Alverca B 0.78), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Oliveira Hospital vs Alverca B?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.