Prediction: O Elvas vs UD da Serra
Team pages: O Elvas · UD da Serra
| O Elvas | Draw | UD da Serra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UD da Serra (rating 1524 vs 1565).
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| O Elvas | UD da Serra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/63/13% | 25/63/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.2 | 1.5 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group C
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mortagua FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | O Elvas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveira Hospital | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | CF Os Marialvas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | UD da Serra | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Naval 1893 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | AD Nogueirense | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Benfica e Castelo Branco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 9 | Fatima | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | AT Malveira | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | Alverca B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 13 | Fazendense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 1 |
| 14 | GD Os Nazarenos | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
O Elvas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Sertanense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Fazendense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | GD Os Nazarenos Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | Fatima Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Moncarapachense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | Comercio Industria Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | Serpa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 22/03 | Alcochetense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 15/03 | Clube Oriental Lisboa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 08/03 | Alverca B Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
UD da Serra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Mortagua FC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | AD Nogueirense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Alverca B Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Naval 1893 Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Samora Correia Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 12/04 | GD Peniche Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Oliveira Hospital Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 29/03 | CF Os Marialvas Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 22/03 | AC Marinhense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Lusitania Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in O Elvas vs UD da Serra?
According to our model, the most likely result is a O Elvas win (47%). Probabilities: O Elvas 47%, draw 28%, UD da Serra 25%.
How many goals are expected in O Elvas vs UD da Serra?
The model expects 2.47 goals (O Elvas 1.47 · UD da Serra 1), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in O Elvas vs UD da Serra?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.