Football · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · 11/10, 16:00

Prediction: Brito SC vs Chaves B

Team pages: Brito SC · Chaves B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Brito SC1.29

Chaves B1.25

1X2

37% 29% 34%

Brito SC Draw Chaves B

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Brito SC 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWLLWL

Chaves B 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWDDLWWW

Head-to-head

Brito SC 1–1–0 Chaves B (2 last)

Chaves B0-1Brito SC
Brito SC0-0Chaves B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brito SC 1543 · Chaves B 1542

	Brito SC	Draw	Chaves B
Our model	36%	29%	34%
Market	37%	29%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brito SC	Chaves B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/25/25%	43/43/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.6	1.5 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.6	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.10

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:06 +10’	2.45	3.10	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brito SC 1–1–0 Chaves B

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/26 Portugal Campeonato Nacional	Chaves B	0-1 HT 0-0	Brito SC
24/08/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional	Brito SC	0-0 HT 0-0	Chaves B

Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Braganca	4	3	1	0	7	2	10
2	FC Tirsense	4	3	0	1	7	2	9
3	Chaves B	4	3	0	1	5	4	9
4	Braga B	4	2	2	0	8	3	8
5	Limianos	4	2	2	0	8	5	8
6	Vila Mea	4	2	1	1	7	3	7
7	CD Celoricense	4	2	1	1	3	2	7
8	Montalegre	4	1	3	0	5	3	6
9	Rebordosa	4	1	1	2	2	3	4
10	Brito SC	4	1	0	3	4	8	3
11	AD Ponte da Barca	4	1	0	3	4	8	3
12	SC Maria da Fonte	4	1	0	3	2	7	3
13	Maia Lidador	4	0	1	3	2	5	1
14	Futebol Clube de Vinhais	4	0	0	4	1	10	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brito SC	Chaves B
FC Tirsense	0-2 L	1-1 D
Braganca	2-3 L	1-1 D
SC Mirandela	2-0 W	1-2 L
CD Ribeira Brava	3-2 W	2-0 W
CD Celoricense	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chaves B (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brito SC

WWWLWWLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	FC Tirsense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
06/09	SC Maria da Fonte Portugal Campeonato Nacional	2-0	2-1	3	13	W
23/08	Montalegre Portugal Campeonato Nacional	–	0-2	–	–	L
16/08	Braganca Portugal Campeonato Nacional	–	2-3	–	–	L
18/04	SC Mirandela Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
12/04	CD Ribeira Brava Portugal Campeonato Nacional	2-0	3-2	4	3	W
04/04	CD Celoricense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
29/03	CD Ribeira Brava Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	1-0	10	8	W
22/03	Vilaverdense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-0	2-0	8	1	W
15/03	AD Camacha Portugal Campeonato Nacional	2-0	4-2	2	7	W

Chaves B

WLWWDDLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	CD Celoricense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
06/09	Futebol Clube de Vinhais Portugal Campeonato Nacional	–	2-1	–	–	W
23/08	Rebordosa Portugal Campeonato Nacional	–	1-0	–	–	W
16/08	Limianos Portugal Campeonato Nacional	–	1-3	–	–	L
18/04	FC Tirsense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
12/04	Braganca Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
04/04	Limianos Portugal Campeonato Nacional	2-0	3-0	2	5	W
22/03	Desportivo Moncao Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-1	4-1	4	4	W
15/03	SC Mirandela Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-1	1-2	6	6	L
08/03	CD Ribeira Brava Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brito SC vs Chaves B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brito SC win (37%). Probabilities: Brito SC 37%, draw 29%, Chaves B 34%.

How many goals are expected in Brito SC vs Chaves B?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Brito SC 1.29 · Chaves B 1.25), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Brito SC vs Chaves B?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.