Football · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · 25/10, 16:00
Prediction: Vila Mea vs Brito SC
Team pages: Vila Mea · Brito SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Vila Mea1.45
Brito SC0.85
1X2
Vila Mea
Draw
Brito SC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Vila Mea
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Brito SC
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vila Mea
2–0
Brito SC
(2 last)
- Vila Mea2-0Brito SC
- Brito SC0-2Vila Mea
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vila Mea 1506 · Brito SC 1491
| Vila Mea | Draw | Brito SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 29% | 21% |
| Market | 51% | 27% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Vila Mea: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vila Mea | Brito SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 38/25/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.4 | 2.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.5 | 4.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vila Mea 2–0–0 Brito SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/23 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | Vila Mea | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Brito SC |
| 20/11/22 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | Brito SC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Vila Mea |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chaves B | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Braga B | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Limianos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Braganca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | FC Tirsense | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Montalegre | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Vila Mea | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | CD Celoricense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Rebordosa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | AD Ponte da Barca | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 | SC Maria da Fonte | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
| 12 | Brito SC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 13 | Maia Lidador | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 14 | Futebol Clube de Vinhais | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vila Mea
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | CD Celoricense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | Futebol Clube de Vinhais Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Rebordosa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Limianos Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/08 | AD Ponte da Barca Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Anadia Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | SC Vila Real Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 04/04 | CD Gouveia Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 22/03 | Rebordosa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/03 | Uniao de Lamas Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
Brito SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Chaves B Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | FC Tirsense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | SC Maria da Fonte Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 13 | W |
| 23/08 | Montalegre Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Braganca Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | SC Mirandela Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | CD Ribeira Brava Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | CD Celoricense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | CD Ribeira Brava Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 22/03 | Vilaverdense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vila Mea vs Brito SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vila Mea win (51%). Probabilities: Vila Mea 51%, draw 28%, Brito SC 21%.
How many goals are expected in Vila Mea vs Brito SC?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Vila Mea 1.45 · Brito SC 0.85), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vila Mea vs Brito SC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.