Prediction: CD Celoricense vs Rebordosa

Team pages: CD Celoricense · Rebordosa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
CD Celoricense1.03
Rebordosa1.05
1X2
34% 30% 36%
CD Celoricense Draw Rebordosa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Celoricense 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DWDWDWWLDL
Rebordosa 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDWLLLWDDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Celoricense 1522 · Rebordosa 1481
CD CeloricenseDrawRebordosa
Our model33%33%34%
Market35%28%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Celoricense (rating 1522 vs 1481).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD CeloricenseRebordosa
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 0.61.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)38/50/13%22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 42 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.64.7 / 0.1

Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chaves B 5401 9412
2 Braga B 5320 11511
3 Limianos 5320 10611
4 Braganca 5311 7410
5 FC Tirsense 5302 959
6 Montalegre 5230 739
7 Vila Mea 5221 738
8 CD Celoricense 5221 328
9 Rebordosa 5122 235
10 AD Ponte da Barca 5113 484
11 SC Maria da Fonte 5113 384
12 Brito SC 5104 4123
13 Maia Lidador 5023 362
14 Futebol Clube de Vinhais 5005 2120

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD CeloricenseRebordosa
Limianos 2-3 L 1-1 D
Vila Mea 0-0 D 1-0 W
Chaves B 0-1 L 0-1 L
FC Tirsense 2-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Rebordosa (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Celoricense

DWDWDWWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Limianos
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
2-2 2-3 66 L
11/10 Vila Mea
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 17 D
13/09 Chaves B
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 0-1 37 L
06/09 FC Tirsense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 2-1 15 W
23/08 SC Maria da Fonte
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
– 1-0 –– W
16/08 Montalegre
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
– 0-0 –– D
18/04 AD Camacha
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 2-1 36 W
12/04 AD Machico
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 72 D
04/04 Brito SC
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 1-0 35 W
22/03 Sao Martinho
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 87 D

Rebordosa

LDWLLLWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Futebol Clube de Vinhais
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
3-0 8-0 44 W
11/10 AD Ponte da Barca
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 68 D
27/09 Limianos
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 1-1 27 D
06/09 Vila Mea
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 1-0 25 W
23/08 Chaves B
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
– 0-1 –– L
16/08 FC Tirsense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-1 51 L
31/05 SC Vianense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 0-2 100 L
22/05 Leca
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 2-1 45 W
17/05 Braganca
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 1-1 59 D
10/05 SC Vianense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 0-3 74 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Celoricense vs Rebordosa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rebordosa win (36%). Probabilities: CD Celoricense 34%, draw 30%, Rebordosa 36%.

How many goals are expected in CD Celoricense vs Rebordosa?

The model expects 2.08 goals (CD Celoricense 1.03 · Rebordosa 1.05), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Celoricense vs Rebordosa?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.