Prediction: CD Celoricense vs Rebordosa
Team pages: CD Celoricense · Rebordosa
| CD Celoricense | Draw | Rebordosa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 33% | 34% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Celoricense (rating 1522 vs 1481).
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Celoricense | Rebordosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/50/13% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.6 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chaves B | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Braga B | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Limianos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Braganca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | FC Tirsense | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Montalegre | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Vila Mea | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | CD Celoricense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Rebordosa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | AD Ponte da Barca | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 | SC Maria da Fonte | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
| 12 | Brito SC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 13 | Maia Lidador | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 14 | Futebol Clube de Vinhais | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Celoricense | Rebordosa |
|---|---|---|
| Limianos | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Vila Mea | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Chaves B | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Tirsense | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Rebordosa (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Celoricense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Limianos Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | Vila Mea Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | Chaves B Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | FC Tirsense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | SC Maria da Fonte Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Montalegre Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | AD Camacha Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | AD Machico Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Brito SC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Sao Martinho Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | D |
Rebordosa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Futebol Clube de Vinhais Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
3-0 | 8-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | AD Ponte da Barca Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 27/09 | Limianos Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Vila Mea Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Chaves B Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | FC Tirsense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | SC Vianense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 22/05 | Leca Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Braganca Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 10/05 | SC Vianense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Celoricense vs Rebordosa?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Rebordosa win (36%). Probabilities: CD Celoricense 34%, draw 30%, Rebordosa 36%.
How many goals are expected in CD Celoricense vs Rebordosa?
The model expects 2.08 goals (CD Celoricense 1.03 · Rebordosa 1.05), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Celoricense vs Rebordosa?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

