Prediction: CF Os Marialvas vs UD da Serra
Team pages: CF Os Marialvas · UD da Serra
- CF Os Marialvas1-1UD da Serra
- UD da Serra4-1CF Os Marialvas
| CF Os Marialvas | Draw | UD da Serra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CF Os Marialvas | UD da Serra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/38/25% | 0/63/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.3 | 1.9 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.5 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CF Os Marialvas 0–1–1 UD da Serra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | CF Os Marialvas | 1-1 HT 0-0 | UD da Serra |
| 14/09/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | UD da Serra | 4-1 HT 2-1 | CF Os Marialvas |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group C
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | CF Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Mortagua FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Benfica e Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 7 | Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | AT Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Fatima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 | Alverca B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | GD Os Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CF Os Marialvas | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Oliveira Hospital | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| AT Malveira | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Naval 1893 | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Mortagua FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CF Os Marialvas (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CF Os Marialvas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Fazendense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Sertanense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | GD Os Nazarenos Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Fatima Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Oliveira Hospital Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | AT Malveira Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Juventude Desportiva Lajense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Naval 1893 Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 04/04 | Mortagua FC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | UD da Serra Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
UD da Serra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | AT Malveira Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | O Elvas Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Mortagua FC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | AD Nogueirense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Alverca B Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Naval 1893 Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Samora Correia Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 12/04 | GD Peniche Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Oliveira Hospital Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 29/03 | CF Os Marialvas Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CF Os Marialvas vs UD da Serra?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CF Os Marialvas win (47%). Probabilities: CF Os Marialvas 47%, draw 28%, UD da Serra 25%.
How many goals are expected in CF Os Marialvas vs UD da Serra?
The model expects 2.46 goals (CF Os Marialvas 1.47 · UD da Serra 0.99), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CF Os Marialvas vs UD da Serra?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.