Prediction: O Elvas vs Naval 1893
Team pages: O Elvas · Naval 1893
| O Elvas | Draw | Naval 1893 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 31% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 27% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| O Elvas | Naval 1893 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 25/63/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.4 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.4 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | CF Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Mortagua FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Benfica e Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 7 | Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | AT Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Fatima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 | Alverca B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | GD Os Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | O Elvas | Naval 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica e Castelo Branco | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| UD da Serra | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Naval 1893 (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
O Elvas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Benfica e Castelo Branco Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 9 | W |
| 11/10 | UD da Serra Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Sertanense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Fazendense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | GD Os Nazarenos Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | Fatima Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Moncarapachense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | Comercio Industria Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | Serpa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 22/03 | Alcochetense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Naval 1893
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Mortagua FC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | AD Nogueirense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Alverca B Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Oliveira Hospital Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Benfica e Castelo Branco Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | UD da Serra Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | GD Vitoria de Sernache Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | CF Os Marialvas Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 04/04 | Juventude Desportiva Lajense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Mortagua FC Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in O Elvas vs Naval 1893?
According to our model, the most likely result is a O Elvas win (46%). Probabilities: O Elvas 46%, draw 29%, Naval 1893 25%.
How many goals are expected in O Elvas vs Naval 1893?
The model expects 2.16 goals (O Elvas 1.29 · Naval 1893 0.87), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in O Elvas vs Naval 1893?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.