Prediction: Mortagua FC vs Alverca B
Team pages: Mortagua FC · Alverca B
- Mortagua FC0-0Alverca B
- Alverca B1-2Mortagua FC
- Alverca B1-2Mortagua FC
- Mortagua FC0-0Alverca B
| Mortagua FC | Draw | Alverca B | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 31% | 30% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Mortagua FC: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mortagua FC | Alverca B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/38/25% | 56/22/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 4.1 | 3.6 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mortagua FC 2–2–0 Alverca B
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | Mortagua FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Alverca B |
| 08/12/24 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | Alverca B | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Mortagua FC |
| 25/02/24 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | Alverca B | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Mortagua FC |
| 01/11/23 Portugal Campeonato Nacional | Mortagua FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Alverca B |
Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliveira Hospital | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | UD da Serra | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | CF Os Marialvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Mortagua FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | O Elvas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Benfica e Castelo Branco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 7 | Naval 1893 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | AD Nogueirense | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | AT Malveira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Fatima | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 | Alverca B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | GD Os Nazarenos | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
| 14 | Fazendense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mortagua FC | Alverca B |
|---|---|---|
| Naval 1893 | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Benfica e Castelo Branco | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| UD da Serra | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Fazendense | 2-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Mortagua FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mortagua FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Naval 1893 Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 11/10 | Benfica e Castelo Branco Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | UD da Serra Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Fazendense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Sertanense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | GD Os Nazarenos Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Electrico Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | GD Vitoria de Sernache Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 04/04 | CF Os Marialvas Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 29/03 | AC Marinhense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Alverca B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | AD Nogueirense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Oliveira Hospital Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 27/09 | Fazendense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Naval 1893 Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | Benfica e Castelo Branco Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | UD da Serra Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Comercio Industria Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Serpa Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | Alcochetense Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 29/03 | Portimonense B Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
1-0 | 4-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mortagua FC vs Alverca B?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mortagua FC win (40%). Probabilities: Mortagua FC 40%, draw 29%, Alverca B 31%.
How many goals are expected in Mortagua FC vs Alverca B?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Mortagua FC 1.24 · Alverca B 1.05), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mortagua FC vs Alverca B?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.