Prediction: Chaves B vs Braganca

Team pages: Chaves B · Braganca

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Chaves B1.26
Braganca1.05
1X2
41% 29% 30%
Chaves B Draw Braganca
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Chaves B 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDDLWWWWLL
Braganca 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWLWDWWLWL
Head-to-head
Chaves B 0–3–0 Braganca (3 last)
  • Chaves B1-1Braganca
  • Braganca1-1Chaves B
  • Chaves B0-0Braganca
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chaves B 1526 · Braganca 1543
Chaves BDrawBraganca
Our model40%31%29%
Market42%27%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Chaves BBraganca
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.81.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.30.3 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/29/29%25/63/13%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 2.91.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.36.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chaves B 0–3–0 Braganca

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Chaves B1-1
HT 0-0
Braganca
14/12/25
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Braganca1-1
HT 0-1
Chaves B
17/11/19
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Chaves B0-0Braganca

Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Limianos 7520 171017
2 Braga B 7430 14715
3 Braganca 7412 9613
4 Montalegre 7331 9412
5 FC Tirsense 7403 131012
6 Chaves B 7403 9612
7 AD Ponte da Barca 7313 7910
8 Rebordosa 7232 1039
9 CD Celoricense 7232 559
10 Vila Mea 7232 1089
11 Maia Lidador 7223 998
12 Brito SC 7205 9176
13 SC Maria da Fonte 7115 4124
14 Futebol Clube de Vinhais 7007 3220

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChaves BBraganca
Maia Lidador 0-1 L 1-0 W
Braga B 0-1 L 0-0 D
Brito SC 4-0 W 3-2 W
Rebordosa 1-0 W 1-1 D
FC Tirsense 1-1 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Chaves B (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chaves B

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Maia Lidador
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 0-1 39 L
25/10 Braga B
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-1 38 L
11/10 Brito SC
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 4-0 46 W
13/09 CD Celoricense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 1-0 37 W
06/09 Futebol Clube de Vinhais
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
– 2-1 –– W
23/08 Rebordosa
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
– 1-0 –– W
16/08 Limianos
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
– 1-3 –– L
18/04 FC Tirsense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 1-1 23 D
12/04 Braganca
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 1-1 33 D
04/04 Limianos
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
2-0 3-0 25 W

Braganca

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 FC Tirsense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 0-1 83 L
25/10 SC Maria da Fonte
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 2-1 57 W
11/10 Montalegre
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-2 210 L
13/09 AD Ponte da Barca
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 3-0 55 W
06/09 Maia Lidador
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 1-0 08 W
23/08 Braga B
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
– 0-0 –– D
16/08 Brito SC
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
– 3-2 –– W
31/05 Leca
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-1 86 L
23/05 SC Vianense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 1-0 15 W
17/05 Rebordosa
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 1-1 19 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chaves B vs Braganca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chaves B win (41%). Probabilities: Chaves B 41%, draw 29%, Braganca 30%.

How many goals are expected in Chaves B vs Braganca?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Chaves B 1.26 · Braganca 1.05), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Chaves B vs Braganca?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.