Football · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · 08/11, 16:00

Prediction: Beira Mar vs Uniao de Lamas

Team pages: Beira Mar · Uniao de Lamas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Beira Mar1.74

Uniao de Lamas1.11

1X2

51% 26% 23%

Beira Mar Draw Uniao de Lamas

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Beira Mar 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDLDDDDD

Uniao de Lamas 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLDDLWDLWL

Head-to-head

Beira Mar 2–2–1 Uniao de Lamas (5 last)

Beira Mar3-3Uniao de Lamas
Beira Mar4-0Uniao de Lamas
Uniao de Lamas2-1Beira Mar
Uniao de Lamas0-2Beira Mar
Beira Mar0-0Uniao de Lamas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Beira Mar 1499 · Uniao de Lamas 1477

	Beira Mar	Draw	Uniao de Lamas
Our model	51%	26%	23%
Market	51%	26%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Beira Mar: 2-2-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Beira Mar	Uniao de Lamas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	0.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/44/11%	25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5	3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.4	4.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.40

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:24 +10’	1.75	3.40	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Beira Mar 2–2–1 Uniao de Lamas

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/08/26 Portugal Cup	Beira Mar	3-3 HT 2-0	Uniao de Lamas
12/04/26 Portugal Campeonato Nacional	Beira Mar	4-0 HT 1-0	Uniao de Lamas
14/12/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional	Uniao de Lamas	2-1 HT 0-1	Beira Mar
09/03/25 Portugal Campeonato Nacional	Uniao de Lamas	0-2 HT 0-1	Beira Mar
10/11/24 Portugal Campeonato Nacional	Beira Mar	0-0 HT 0-0	Uniao de Lamas

Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AD Ovarense	7	6	1	0	14	3	19
2	AD Machico	7	4	3	0	10	2	15
3	AD Camacha	7	4	3	0	11	5	15
4	Florgrade FC	7	3	2	2	7	7	11
5	AD Sanjoanense	7	3	2	2	9	8	11
6	AD Castro Daire	7	2	4	1	8	6	10
7	Salgueiros	7	1	5	1	5	6	8
8	Uniao de Lamas	7	2	2	3	8	11	8
9	Cinfaes	7	1	3	3	6	8	6
10	Beira Mar	7	0	6	1	8	10	6
11	Estrela da Calheta FC	7	1	3	3	7	12	6
12	FC Alpendorada	7	1	2	4	7	11	5
13	Guarda Desportiva	7	1	1	5	3	7	4
14	UD Sousense	7	0	3	4	6	13	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Beira Mar	Uniao de Lamas
Estrela da Calheta FC	1-1 D	2-1 W
UD Sousense	1-1 D	3-3 D
AD Ovarense	2-2 D	0-1 L
AD Sanjoanense	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Beira Mar (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Beira Mar

WWWDLDDDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Estrela da Calheta FC Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-0	1-1	2	10	D
25/10	UD Sousense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
11/10	AD Ovarense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-0	2-2	2	5	D
13/09	AD Castro Daire Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	1-1	9	5	D
06/09	Cinfaes Portugal Campeonato Nacional	2-2	2-2	–	–	D
23/08	AD Machico Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
16/08	AD Sanjoanense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	–	1-1	–	–	D
18/04	CD Gouveia Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
12/04	Uniao de Lamas Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-0	4-0	8	6	W
04/04	FC Alpendorada Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	1-0	5	5	W

Uniao de Lamas

DLDDLWDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	AD Sanjoanense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-1	1-2	1	5	L
25/10	Estrela da Calheta FC Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
11/10	AD Camacha Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-2	0-3	11	7	L
13/09	UD Sousense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-2	3-3	10	7	D
06/09	Guarda Desportiva Portugal Campeonato Nacional	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
23/08	AD Ovarense Portugal Campeonato Nacional	–	0-1	–	–	L
16/08	Florgrade FC Portugal Campeonato Nacional	–	1-1	–	–	D
18/04	Salgueiros Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/04	Beira Mar Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-1	0-4	2	6	L
04/04	Anadia Portugal Campeonato Nacional	0-0	0-0	6	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Beira Mar vs Uniao de Lamas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Beira Mar win (51%). Probabilities: Beira Mar 51%, draw 26%, Uniao de Lamas 23%.

How many goals are expected in Beira Mar vs Uniao de Lamas?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Beira Mar 1.74 · Uniao de Lamas 1.11), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Beira Mar vs Uniao de Lamas?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.