Football · Brazil Campeonato Carioca B · 07/11, 19:00

Prediction: Artsul Futebol Clube vs Goytacaz

Team pages: Artsul Futebol Clube

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.24Total

Artsul Futebol Clube1.21

Goytacaz1.02

1X2

40% 30% 30%

Artsul Futebol Clube Draw Goytacaz

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Artsul Futebol Clube 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDLDDLWW

Goytacaz 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDWWDW

Head-to-head

Artsul Futebol Clube 0–1–2 Goytacaz (3 last)

Artsul Futebol Clube1-2Goytacaz
Artsul Futebol Clube1-1Goytacaz
Artsul Futebol Clube0-3Goytacaz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Artsul Futebol Clube 1529 · Goytacaz 1557

	Artsul Futebol Clube	Draw	Goytacaz
Our model	39%	31%	30%
Market	41%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Goytacaz: 2-1-0.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 14.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Artsul Futebol Clube	Goytacaz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1	1.3 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 7.7	2.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	8 / 0.4	6.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.20

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.21
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.88 → 2.88	Pinn 3.15 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:54 +20’	2.20	3.20	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:58 +32’	2.21	2.87	3.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Artsul Futebol Clube 0–1–2 Goytacaz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/09/20 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	Artsul Futebol Clube	1-2 HT 1-0	Goytacaz
13/07/19 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	Artsul Futebol Clube	1-1 HT 0-0	Goytacaz
03/06/17 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	Artsul Futebol Clube	0-3 HT 0-2	Goytacaz

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Goytacaz	10	6	3	1	13	6	21
2	Serrano	10	6	3	1	14	8	21
3	Duque de Caxias FC	10	6	1	3	16	8	19
4	Niteroiense	10	6	1	3	12	9	19
5	Petropolis	10	4	6	0	12	7	18
6	Artsul Futebol Clube	10	4	4	2	14	10	16
7	Campo Grande AC	10	3	3	4	8	13	12
8	Macae Esporte FC	10	3	2	5	10	11	11
9	Sao Cristovao RJ	10	2	4	4	6	8	10
10	Nova Cidade	10	1	3	6	8	13	6
11	Audax Rio	10	1	2	7	6	14	5
12	Carapebus/Campos	10	1	2	7	9	21	5

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Artsul Futebol Clube	Goytacaz
Niteroiense	2-0 W	2-0 W
Sao Cristovao RJ	1-0 W	1-1 D
Duque de Caxias FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Nova Cidade	1-1 D	2-1 W
Petropolis	1-1 D	0-2 L
Serrano	3-4 L	0-0 D
Macae Esporte FC	0-0 D	1-0 W
Carapebus/Campos	0-0 D	2-0 W
Campo Grande AC	3-2 W	2-0 W
Audax Rio	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 4 D 2 L	6 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Goytacaz (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Artsul Futebol Clube

WWDDLDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Niteroiense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	0-0	2-0	6	12	W
24/10	Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	1-0	1-0	5	10	W
21/10	Duque de Caxias FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	0-0	1-2	5	5	L
16/10	Nova Cidade Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
09/10	Petropolis Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	0-0	1-1	14	7	D
03/10	Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	0-2	3-4	8	9	L
26/09	Macae Esporte FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
19/09	Carapebus/Campos Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	0-0	0-0	19	6	D
12/09	Campo Grande AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	0-2	3-2	–	–	W
06/09	Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	1-0	2-0	5	15	W

Goytacaz

WDLWWDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Campo Grande AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	2-0	2-0	5	6	W
24/10	Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	1-0	1-1	6	8	D
21/10	Carapebus/Campos Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	2-0	2-0	5	7	W
17/10	Niteroiense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
10/10	Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	0-1	1-1	6	10	D
03/10	Duque de Caxias FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	2-0	2-1	5	6	W
26/09	Nova Cidade Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
19/09	Petropolis Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	0-1	0-2	2	7	L
12/09	Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
05/09	Macae Esporte FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B	1-0	1-0	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Artsul Futebol Clube vs Goytacaz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Artsul Futebol Clube win (40%). Probabilities: Artsul Futebol Clube 40%, draw 30%, Goytacaz 30%.

How many goals are expected in Artsul Futebol Clube vs Goytacaz?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Artsul Futebol Clube 1.21 · Goytacaz 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Artsul Futebol Clube vs Goytacaz?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.